fivethirtyeightindex

Explore 38,593 articles, datasets, podcasts, graphics and illustrations from fivethirtyeight.com

October 2008

Electoral Projections Done Right: Today's Polls, 10/1
In Contrast to House, Few Signs of Electoral Politics in Senate Bailout Vote
The Tongue Jut
What Obama Accomplished at the Debate
Today’s Polls, 10/1
Washington Post Chat Starts Momentarily
Debategate
Nate with Dan Rather, and Keith Olbermann
Post-VP Debate Thoughts
Technical Difficulties...
Vice-Presidential Debate Liveblog #1: Live From Wash U.
Vice-Presidential Debate Liveblog #2: Live From Wash U.
In Contrast to House, Few Signs of Electoral Politics in Senate Bailout Vote
Real Credibility Problems
Obama Projects 269 Electoral Votes Even With Six-Point Cushion
RCP Follow-Up
Technical Difficulties…
Today’s Polls, 10/2
A Brief Interview With Chairman Dean
Today's Polls, 10/3
Vice-Presidential Debate Liveblog #1: Live From Wash U.
Vice-Presidential Debate Liveblog #2: Live From Wash U.
Post-VP Debate Thoughts
Vice-Presidential Debate Post-Mortem, Live From π in the Loop
McCain and Michigan
VP Debate a Ratings Winner
On the Road: St. Louis County, Missouri
Omaha, Nebraska’s One Electoral Vote Is In Play
Senate Polling Update, 10/4
Today’s Polls, 10/3
Dueling Minnesota Polls
Today’s Polls, 10/4
On the Road: Tippecanoe County, Indiana
Road to 270: Alaska
Senate Polling Update, 10/4
Omaha, Nebraska’s One Electoral Vote Is In Play
New York Times Doesn’t Think North Carolina Is a Tossup
Why It (Probably) Won’t Work
Today’s Polls, 10/5
Electoral Projections Done Right: Today's Polls, 10/6
In Georgia, Small Improvements in Black Voter Participation May Make Big Difference
On the Road: Bloomington, Indiana
Road to 270: Alaska
On the Road: Tippecanoe County, Indiana
Road to 270: California
What’s Different About This Map?
BrettMarty.com
Nashville Debate Liveblog #1
Nashville Debate Liveblog #2
Nashville Debate Liveblog #3
On the Road: Bloomington, Indiana
Today’s Polls, 10/6
Today’s Polls, 10/7
What State Do You Want to See Polled?
Tonight
21-2
Nashville Debate Liveblog #1
Nashville Debate Liveblog #2
Nashville Debate Liveblog #3
BrettMarty.com
Post-Debate Thoughts, or Lack Thereof
What is Obama’s Ceiling?
Today’s Polls, 10/8
Ayers Attacks Piquing Curiosity, But Perhaps Little Else
Electoral Projections Done Right: Uncommitteds and Persuadables in Historical Perspective
21-2
Uncommitteds and Persuadables in Historical Perspective
Senate Projections, 10/9
On the Road: New Albany, Indiana
Today’s Polls, 10/9
Why You Don’t Bluff
Teaser
Does McCain Have Cooties?
Ayers Attacks Piquing Curiosity, But Perhaps Little Else
Debate May Have Helped Obama
Guest Column: Will Bin Laden Strike Again?
An Invitation To Michael Barone
On the Road: Dueling Rallies, Ohio
Today’s Polls, 10/10
<img src=http://farm4.static.flickr.com/3177/2789218680_9133fff4c4_o.png> Did McCain Just Walk Into a Trap?
On the Road: Troy, Ohio
Today's Polls, 10/11
Does McCain Have Cooties?
Road to 270: Texas
Did McCain Just Walk Into a Trap?
Another Way to Look at McCain's Odds
Patience
Today's Polls, 10/12
On the Road: Troy, Ohio
Are McCain’s Ads “Dangerous”?
Electoral Projections Done Right: If The Bradley Effect is Gone, What Happened To It?
Electoral Projections Done Right: Mini Polling Update
Electoral Projections Done Right: On the Road: Columbus, Ohio
Electoral Projections Done Right: Religulous
Electoral Projections Done Right: Road to 270: Florida
Electoral Projections Done Right: Today's Polls, 10/13
Road to 270: South Dakota
Patience
Today’s Polls, 10/12
Another Way to Look at McCain’s Odds
Road to 270: Tennessee
Is Drudge Priming a McCain “Reboot” Narrative?
Mini Polling Update
On the Road: Columbus, Ohio
If The Bradley Effect is Gone, What Happened To It?
Electoral Projections Done Right: CBS/NYT Poll Preempt
Electoral Projections Done Right: On the Road: Toledo, Ohio
Electoral Projections Done Right: Road to 270: Oregon
Electoral Projections Done Right: Senate Projections, 10/14
Electoral Projections Done Right: Today's Polls, 10/14
Electoral Projections Done Right: Voter Registration in North Carolina
Road to 270: Louisiana
Today’s Polls, 10/13
Religulous
Road to 270: Florida
Voter Registration in North Carolina
Senate Projections, 10/14
Road to 270: Oregon
On the Road: Toledo, Ohio
CBS/NYT Poll Preempt
Electoral Projections Done Right: Obama Dominating Among Early Voters in Five Swing States
Say It to My Face Debate Liveblog #1
Say It to My Face Debate Liveblog #2
Say It to My Face Debate Liveblog #3
Say It to My Face Debate Liveblog #4
Say It to My Face Debate Post-Mortem
Today’s Polls, 10/14
Road to 270: Louisiana
Obama Dominating Among Early Voters in Five Swing States
Road to 270: Maryland
Today’s Polls, 10/15
On the Road: Morgantown, "West By-God Virginia"
Say It to My Face Debate Liveblog #1
Say It to My Face Debate Liveblog #2
Say It to My Face Debate Liveblog #3
Say It to My Face Debate Liveblog #4
Say It to My Face Debate Post-Mortem
Where McCain Lost It
On the Road: Marietta, Ohio
538’s Battlegrounds as of Mid-October
Road to 270: Montana
Today’s Polls, 10/16
On the Road: Western Pennsylvania
Today's Polls, 10/17
On the Road: Morgantown, “West By-God Virginia”
Scrap the Squigglys
Bad Spin Watch: Drudge Touts Weeks-Old, Web-Based Poll
Busy, Busy, Busy
On the Road: Western Pennsylvania
Road to 270: Connecticut
Today’s Polls, 10/18
“Real” America Looks Different to Palin, Obama
Road to 270: Kansas
General Powell Endorses Obama
Today’s Polls, 10/19
Electoral Projections Done Right: Senate Projections, 10/20
Senate Projections, 10/20
Exceptionally Tacky Omnibus Apology
The Wikipedian Candidate
On the Road: Philadelphia Suburbs, Pennsylvania
Today’s Polls, 10/20
On the Road: Northern Virginia
Sorry, Jim, the PUMAs are Dead
POLL SHOCK: 51 OBAMA, 49 MCCAIN WITH LIKELY TODDLERS
Tracking Poll Primer
Today’s Polls, 10/21
On the Road: Northern Virginia
McCain Brings Hope to Pennsylvania
Road to 270: Idaho
Must Reads
The Bradley Effect, Revisited
Road to 270: New York
Some Likely Voter Models are Suspect
On the Road: Richmond, Virginia
Today’s Polls, 10/22
538 Goes Mobile
Today's Polls, 10/23: McCain on Life Support
Road to 270: Arizona
AM Polls Show Surprisingly Large Leads for Obama
Prop 8 a Toss-Up
Obama Passes The Rove Threshold?
What’s Wrong With This Picture? (a.k.a. Nate the Poll Nazi Strikes Again)
On the Road: Charlottesville, Virginia
Electoral Projections Done Right: On the Road: Big Stone Gap, Virginia
Electoral Projections Done Right: Senate Projections, 10/24
Today’s Polls, 10/23: McCain on Life Support
Senate Projections, 10/24
How The West Wasn’t Won
The Number That Explains It All
Road to 270: Vermont
Road to 270: Kentucky
Today’s Polls, 10/24
Road to 270: South Carolina
On the Road: Big Stone Gap, Virginia
Road to 270: New Jersey
Road to 270: North Dakota
McCain’s 10-Day Plan
Today’s Polls, 10/25
Road to 270: South Carolina
A Pollster Responds
538 on The Colbert Report
Today’s Polls, 10/26
Road to 270: New Mexico
What Would 'Tightening' Look Like?
Bradley Effect? Or Elephant Effect?
On the Road: Charlotte, North Carolina
Yes, Virginia, You Are Obama’s Firewall
The Three Ashleys
Ted Stevens Found Guilty on All Counts
Today’s Polls, 10/27
Road to 270: Delaware
Road to 270: New Hampshire
The Black Turnout Surge, Already In Progress
What Would ‘Tightening’ Look Like?
Road to 270: New Mexico
The Weather
Senate Projections, Baked Alaska Edition
1-in-10,000,000
Nerds Gone Wild!
On the Road: Raleigh, North Carolina
Today’s Polls, 10/28
Obamarama Liveblog
On the Road: Wilmington, North Carolina
The Black Turnout Surge, Already In Progress
Road to 270: New Hampshire
The Undecideds
In Oregon, Turnout is Down, But Especially in Red Counties
Road to 270: West Virginia
Florida Flashback
McCain Miami Rally, Getting Ugly Down Here
The Myth of the 'Lag'
<img src="http://farm4.static.flickr.com/3177/2789218680_9133fff4c4_o.png" /> Field Poll Shows Close Call on Gay Marriage Ban
Road to 270: Washington
Today's Polls, 10/30
Obamarama Liveblog
On the Road: Wilmington, North Carolina
On the Road: Wilmington, North Carolina
Today’s Polls, 10/29
Road to 270: Illinois
Are the Polls Lowballing Jim Martin (GA-Sen)?
Anatomy of a Polling Disaster
Election Night Preview with Dan Rather
Quick Notes
Road to 270: Missouri
Today's Polls, 10/31
Trick or Treat
Today’s Polls, 10/30
Field Poll Shows Close Call on Gay Marriage Ban
Road to 270: Nevada
Senate Projections, 10/31
McCain's Mountain of a Problem
On the Road: Miami, Florida
Irrational Exuberance in Arizona?
The Big Empty