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August 2008

Opportunity Cost
Obama Outperforming Kerry Among Nearly All Demographics
How You Look, How You Sound, What You Say
VP: Short the Faves
Yesterday’s Polls (8/1 Catchup)
Organizing Update
Today’s Polls, 8/3
McCain Just Says No to Indiana
Obama: Seat FL/MI Delegates with Full Votes
Is Obama Underachieving?
Should Obama Have Asked for More Debates?
Today’s Polls, 8/4
Evan Bayh: Latent Liberal?
What Would You Do With $5M in Ad Time? [UPDATED]
Spears-Hilton Week Pulls McCain Even in Coverage Volume
Senate Polling Weekly Update, 8/5
ABC Dealt Out Of Presidential Debates
Today’s Polls, 8/5 (Procrastinator Edition)
FAQ Updated
Is GA-Sen in Play?
The Oprah Effect, Revisited
Today’s Polls, 8/6
Bubba By Numbers
Force Multiplier
ABC Dealt Out Of Presidential Debates
The Gang of 10: Obama’s Checkmate?
On Likely Voters and the Long Tail
Today’s Polls, 8/7
Bubba By Numbers
Force Multiplier
Not Even Close
A Perspective on Mazen Asbahi
Media Alert
Today’s Polls, 08/08/08
538 on <span style="font-style: italic;">Countdown</span>
538 on Countdown
Subtext Conflict: Celebrity Vs. Otherness
Obama Leads Better Than 3:1 in Field Offices
Travel Globally, Attack Locally
The Grinch Who Stole The Olympics
Obama and the Youth Vote
Electoral Projections Done Right: The Persistent Myth of the Bradley Effect
Today's Polls, 8/11
Travel Globally, Attack Locally
The Persistent Myth of the Bradley Effect
Why Howard Wolfson is Out of a Job
The Georgia Conflict and the Case for Clark
Today’s Polls, 8/11
Black Vote Was Invisible To Penn
Spears-Hilton Week Over, McCain’s News Coverage Falls Again
Senate Polling Weekly Update, 8/12
Bayhdenkabelius
Today's Polls, 8/13
Today’s Polls, 8/12
Warner Will Be Dems’ Keynoter [UPDATED]
Road to 270: Indiana
Today’s Polls, 8/13
Bayhdenkabelius
Sending Out an S.O.S.
Road to 270: Mississippi
How McCain is Winning on the Economy
The Next Laura Ingraham?
Clinton Campaign Didn’t Grasp Rudimentary Proportionality Math
Today’s Polls, 8/14
McCain Improves With Base, Obama Stays Flat
What a Convention Bounce Looks Like
Road to 270: Maine
Today’s Polls, 8/15
Friday Afternoon Leftovers
Sister Kissing Update
Today’s Polls, 8/16
538’s Battlegrounds as of Mid-August
<img src="http://img.tradekey.com/lang/en/images/updated_icon.gif" /> On Obama-Clinton
<img src="http://img.tradekey.com/lang/en/images/updated_icon.gif" /> Pastor Warren Contradicts Self on 'Cone of Silence'
Sister Kissing Update
Saddleback
Voter Contacts
Democratic VP Buyer’s Guide
Pastor Warren Contradicts Self on ‘Cone of Silence’
Today's Polls, 8/18
Yet Another Veep Thread: Nobody Knows Anything
On Obama-Clinton
Did McCain’s Campaign Just Confirm Andrea Mitchell’s Reporting?
Late Nite Polls, 8/17
Road to 270: Hawaii
VP Announcement Timing
Today's Polls, 8/19
Today’s Polls, 8/18
Yet Another Veep Thread: Nobody Knows Anything
Yet Another Conegate Thread
Do Voters Like Joe Biden?
Online Chat at 1 PM Eastern / 12 PM Central
Context on Battleground Spending
Fox’s Pro-Choice Poison Pill?
I'm Hearing...
McCain Now Winning Small Majority of Simulations
Today's Polls, 8/20
Today’s Polls, 8/19
Biden: A New Trick for Old Fogeys
I’m Hearing…
Obama-SebeliBus?
<img src="http://img.tradekey.com/lang/en/images/updated_icon.gif" /> Unabashed Media Whoring (and Open Thread)
Romney: Demographics Over Narrative
Today's Polls, 8/21
McCain Now Winning Small Majority of Simulations
Today’s Polls, 8/20
The Case for Hillary
Road to 270: Oklahoma
Unabashed Media Whoring (and Open Thread)
Democrats Will Be Watching Denver (And We'll Be There)
<img src="http://img.tradekey.com/lang/en/images/updated_icon.gif" /> The One Tea Leaf Worth Reading
Today's Polls, 8/22
Today’s Polls, 8/21
Something Was The Matter With Kansas (Technical)
Romney: Demographics Over Narrative
The One Tea Leaf Worth Reading
Senate Polling Weekly Update, 8/22
Brent Musburger Lives!
Road to 270: North Carolina
Nuggets (and Open Veepwatch Thread)
"Clear-Eyed Pragmatist": The Obama Brand Has Come Full-Circle
<img src="http://farm4.static.flickr.com/3177/2789218680_9133fff4c4_o.png" /> It's Official: Obama Picks Biden
Today’s Polls, 8/22
It’s Official: Obama Picks Biden
Can Biden Out-Hillary Hillary?
Today’s Polls, 8/23
CNN Poll Suggests Trouble for Obama, But Omits Proper Context
Today's Polls, 8/24
“Clear-Eyed Pragmatist”: The Obama Brand Has Come Full-Circle
Is There a Clinton Backlash? How About A Backlash Backlash?
Road to 270: Wyoming
Monday Night Liveblog: Live From Denver
Today’s Polls, 8/24
CNN Poll Suggests Trouble for Obama, But Omits Proper Context
House Effects In Da House
Today’s Polls, 8/25
Should Obama Expect a Big Convention Bounce?
Live from Denver, It's Hillary Clinton! (DNC thread #2)
Live from Denver, It's Tuesday Night!
The NASCAR Dad of 2008? It Might be The Perot Voter.
Monday Night Liveblog: Live From Denver
Today (DNC Day 2)
Today’s Polls, 8/26
DNC Day 3: Live Twitter Thread
Wednesday Night Liveblog #1: Bill
Wednesday Night Liveblog #2: Biden
The NASCAR Dad of 2008? It Might be The Perot Voter.
Live from Denver, It’s Tuesday Night!
Live from Denver, It’s Hillary Clinton! (DNC thread #2)
Voting Early in Battleground States
Barack Obama Officially Becomes Democratic Nominee for Presdient
Today’s Polls, 8/27
Wednesday Night Liveblog #1: Bill
DNC Day 3: Live Twitter Thread
Wednesday Night Liveblog #2: Biden
Gallup Shows an Initial Convention Bounce for Obama
Live from Invesco: From the Cheap Seats
Live from Invesco: From the Press Box
...and Speaking of Head-Fakes
<img src="http://farm4.static.flickr.com/3177/2789218680_9133fff4c4_o.png" /> Multiple Reports: Palin is VP Nominee
Palin: More Follow Up Comments
Sarah Palin Thoughts, Revised and Extended
Today's Polls, 8/29
Source: It’s Not Pawlenty
…and Speaking of Head-Fakes
Multiple Reports: Palin is VP Nominee
Palin VP Rollout Liveblog
Palin: It’s Not Really About Experience
Sarah Palin Thoughts, Revised and Extended
Today’s Polls, 8/29
Palin: More Follow Up Comments
Women View Palin More Skeptically than Men
Today’s Polls, 8/30
Live From St. Paul, It’s A… Convention?
Open Discussion: The Convention Bounce Adjustment
Today’s Polls, 8/31
Gustav Could Be Boon to GOP