fivethirtyeightindex

Explore 38,593 articles, datasets, podcasts, graphics and illustrations from fivethirtyeight.com

July 2008

And Here I Thought John Kerry Lost...
Senate Projections Methodology Primer, Part I
Today’s Polls, 7/1
Lanny Davis: Still a Hack After All These Years
And Here I Thought John Kerry Lost…
Steve Schmidt Gets It
Today's Polls, 7/2
Irresponsible Journalism Alert
A Small Change
Speaking of North Dakota...
Today’s Polls, 7/2
Steve Schmidt Gets It
Something You Probably Never Expected to See
Energy Gap: Following Campaign News “Very Closely”
Speaking of North Dakota…
Today’s Polls, 7/3
Flip-Flopping: As American as Apple Pie
Return on Investment
No Fireworks, But A Few Small Changes
Fall Edwards-Rove Debates Mean No Edwards VP?
Today's Polls, 7/5
Why are New Jersey Politicians Always Rich? An Analysis of TV Markets.
No Fireworks, But A Few Small Changes
Why are New Jersey Politicians Always Rich? An Analysis of TV Markets.
Today’s Polls, 7/5
Nuclear Deterrence?
State Similarity Scores
Webb Out; Who’s Up? [UPDATED]
The Virtue of Vetting
Senate Polling Weekly Update, 7/7
Has Obama Won the Center? [UPDATED]
Shadow Senate Race?
Quibble
Zogby Interactive Data Dump
Leaners
Today’s Polls, 7/9
Popular Vote v Electoral Vote, Part II
Better to be Lucky…
Tipping Point v2.0
Today’s Polls, 7/10
The Other Advantage of Opting Out
Obama is the New…
Today’s Polls, 7/11
This Post is Already Written
Today’s Polls, 7/12
Running (Mate) to the Center [UPDATED]
Republican VP Speculation Thread
Today’s Polls, 7/13
When Memes Collide
Travel Delays / Open Thread
Today’s Polls, 7/14
Today's Polls, 7/15
Shock and Awe, Paid Organizer Version
Equal Time
Hard Support vs. Soft Support
Democrats Swayed More By Muslim Misinfo
Today’s Polls, 7/15
538 Battlegrounds as of Mid-July
Yesterday’s Polls, 7/16
Today’s Polls, 7/17
It's A <span style="font-style:italic;">Dry</span> Heat
Likely Voters More Republican?
Ready for the Next Mini-Maelstrom?
Today’s Polls, 7/18
It’s A Dry Heat
Cellphones (and Open Thread)
Bob Barr Meets The Netroots
Obama and Austin, Take II
Obama and al-Maliki
Today's Polls, 7/21
Clinton’s Debt Reveals Flaws in Campaign Finance Laws
Senate Polling Weekly Update, 7/20
Zugzwang
Did the <span style="font-style: italic;">New Yorker</span> Get Snubbed from the Obama Campaign Plane?
Today’s Polls, 7/21
Did the New Yorker Get Snubbed from the Obama Campaign Plane?
Dueling Ohio Polls
The Cellphone Problem, Revisited
Today’s Polls, 7/22
Charts Updated (Finally)
Raising Kaine?
Do High Gas Prices Help Obama?
Today’s Polls, 7/23
Electoral Projections Done Right: What Barack Obama Needs to Win
Charts Updated (Finally)
The Reverse Nader Effect
Today’s Polls, 7/24
What Barack Obama Needs to Win
Name ... that ... Subgroup!
Lessons from the Overseas Trip
McCain Ups the Ante
Today’s Polls, 7/25
Name … that … Subgroup!
Today’s Polls, 7/26
The Sleeper Issue of 2008: Beer
The Subliminal Power of Obama’s Berlin Speech
Today’s Polls and Miscellaneous Thoughts, 7/27
Comments Now Require Registration
Romney’s Effect On the Map
Senate Polling Weekly Update, 7/28
A Short List of Short Lists [UPDATED]
About that McCain +4
Comments Now Require Registration
Tom and Huckabee
AK-Sen: Ted Stevens Indicted
Today’s Polls, 7/29
Sebelius Shell Game?
VP Contenders by the Numbers
Obama on Offense in Florida
Barack is, like, *so* popular!
Today’s Polls, 7/30
Electoral Projections Done Right: Today's Polls (AM Edition), 7/31
Opportunity Cost
Sebelius Shell Game?
My Least Favorite Argument
Today’s Polls (AM Edition), 7/31
Today’s Polls (PM Edition), 7/31