fivethirtyeightindex

Explore 21,350 pages from fivethirtyeight.com preserved by the Internet Archive

June 2008

Clinton wins Puerto Rico
Delegate Update, Post-Puerto Rico
Exit poll hints at a big Clinton win in Puerto Rico?
Is 2118 the Magic Number?
Now It Matters
Popular Vote Scenario Tester, Online Version [UPDATED]
Today's Polls, 6/1
After the Magic Number, the new Magic Number
Arguing against the polls
Fear of the Unknown
Montana Projection: Obama by 18
On which reputations are made (or lost)
South Dakota Projection: Obama by 5
Today's Polls, 6/2
Popular Vote Scenario Tester, Online Version [UPDATED]
Delegate Update, Post-Puerto Rico
BREAKING: Hillary concedes that she conceded to concede...
Exit poll teasers (updated)
Grand Finale Night Liveblog
Grand Finale Night Liveblog II: Montana and Obama's Speech
Midday Notes
Sean = PocketNines
Today's Polls, 6/3
South Dakota Projection: Obama by 5
After the Magic Number, the new Magic Number
Montana Projection: Obama by 18
BREAKING: Hillary concedes that she conceded to concede…
Final Popular Vote Estimates: Obama wins 7 of 8 Michigan scenarios
Hillary's Future (at 538)
McCain's strategy: force a gaffe?
On Brian Schweitzer as VP
Two Mediocrities?
Sean = PocketNines
Grand Finale Night Liveblog
Grand Finale Night Liveblog II: Montana and Obama’s Speech
A Call for Pollster-Poblano Unity
A New Map
National Polls
Today's Polls, 6/5
On Brian Schweitzer as VP
Hillary Clinton: Czarina of Recounts?
Pardon the Dust
Some signs of a unity bounce
Today's Polls, 6/6
A New Map
Clinton-McCain archive
How the Electoral College Hurts the GOP
Rehabilitation for Herself: What Could Clinton Say?
Briefings, Branding, and Bravado
Can Nader help Obama?
Today's Polls, 6/8
An Attempt at Senate Race Rankings
The best move of the general election season (so far)
Today's Polls, 6/9
Candidate Health Report: John McCain
Electoral Projections Done Right: Liberal-Conservative Rankings Done Right
Homework Assignment
The best move of the general election season (so far)
Liberal-Conservative Rankings Done Right
'Zona Defense
51,199,463,116,367 (Shout-Outs)
Today's Polls, 6/11
Tonight's Polls, 6/10
Candidate Health Report: John McCain
Carne Asada con Obama
Etc. Etc. Etc.
Today's Polls, 6/12
World's Simplest Election Projection
51,199,463,116,367 (Shout-Outs)
‘Zona Defense
CNN Video
Tim Russert
Today's Polls, 6/13
Etc. Etc. Etc.
Major Update Coming
McCain's Atheist Problem?
We don't know as much as we think (Big Change #1)
We know more than we think (Big Change #2)
Convention Choices and Electoral Offense
We know more than we think (Big Change #2)
538's Battlegrounds as of Mid-June
A Refinement to the Adjustment, Part I
A Refinement to the Adjustment, Part II
Popular Vote v Electoral Vote
Tea Leaves
Today's Polls, 6/16
Weekend Poll Catchup
Can a VP Nominee "Win" a State?
Defining a "Must Win" (Technical)
Guess Who's Blogging for the National Press Club?
Today's Polls, 6/17
Trendline now calculated from daily numbers
Today’s Polls, 6/16
538’s Battlegrounds as of Mid-June
Tea Leaves
Afternoon Polling Update, 6/18
Does Obama still have an Appalachia Problem?
Obama's bounce in state polling
Today's Polls, 6/18
Defining a “Must Win” (Technical)
Another Vote for Chuck Todd
Coming Soon
Evening Polling Update, 6/19
Today's Polls, 6/19
Why Obama should visit Alaska, Part II
How (not) to win over Clinton supporters
McCain VP: Pawlenty Guarantees MN, WI?
Today's Polls, 6/20
Evening Polling Update, 6/19
Another Vote for Chuck Todd
A Word on Voter Files
Obama's bounce in state vs national polls
Swing District Dems voted for FISA Compromise
Today's Polls, 6/21
Electoral Projections Done Right: Why Obama isn't like Dukakis
Today's Polls, 6/22
Why Obama isn’t like Dukakis
Is Charlie Black Right?
The Win Percentage Tracker Returns
Today's Polls, 6/23
Keep an eye on SC-Sen
Liberal-Conservative Scores for Senate Candidates
Oregon: Foreshadowing?
Today's Polls, 6/24
Moving Beyond the Seat Count
Should McCain just embrace the bad polls?
The Obama Eighteen
Today's Polls, 6/25
Should we be discounting Obama's lead? The next and hopefully last Big Change.
Today's Polls, 6/26
Which Candidate has a Base Problem?
The Obama Eighteen
Should McCain just embrace the bad polls?
Ebb and Flow
Right Track
Today's Polls, 6/27
Wrong Track
Bob Barr Not Going Viral
Construction Season Over (Technical)
If the Election WERE Held Today...
The Electric Minor Political Scandal Acid Test
Today's Polls, 6/29
If the Election WERE Held Today…
Internal Polls
Is Obama Becoming 'Generic Democrat'?
Senate Polling Permathread (Updated 6/30)
Senate Projections are Live
Today's Polls, 6/30