fivethirtyeightindex

Explore 21,350 pages from fivethirtyeight.com preserved by the Internet Archive

May 2008

Indiana Prediction: Toss-Up, but tilts Clinton; possible 36-36 delegate split
Today's Polls, 5/1
Clinton +2 in North Carolina?
Voters v. Media: a concerning result
ARG Attacks!
It's not all about Obama
Make your own North Carolina prediction
Tarheel Tidbits
Today's Polls: Obama and Clinton chasing 50% against McCain
CBS/NYT: Both Dems lead McCain by double digits
OR-51 for the Win?
Today's Polls, 5/3
Late Movement?
North Carolina Prediction: Obama by Double Digits
Obama's favorite pollsters (and Clinton's)
Today's Polls, 5/5
African-American turnout in North Carolina, Part II
Election Night Thread
Indiana Scorecard
North Carolina Scorecard
Obama Margin of Error
The older bird gets the worm?
Obama’s favorite pollsters (and Clinton’s)
Did Clinton Misplay her Ace?
Quote of the Day
The Eighth Reason
The Superdelegate Thermostat
Today's Polls, 5/7
Victory Lap?
Hers if She Wants It?
Today's Polls, 5/8
Today’s Polls, 5/7
The Superdelegate Thermostat
Challenge to Dick Bennett of American Research Group
Everything you always wanted to know about Obama's pledged delegate clinching scenarios*
Rasmussen: Obama leads Clinton by 11 since North Carolina victory
Does Clinton really lead in Swing Districts?
Today's Polls, 5/10
Electoral Projections Done Right: Black, Youth and Latino Turnout, and Obama's Electoral Map
Q&A on Minority Turnout Model
Tonight's Polls, 5/11
What are they waiting for?
Black, Youth and Latino Turnout, and Obama’s Electoral Map
Five Reasons why 2012 is a No-Go for Clinton
Today's Polls, 5/12
Would Obama win the California primary today?
Tonight’s Polls, 5/11
Q&A on Minority Turnout Model
Back-of-envelope
Clinton wins West Virginia
West Virginia Preview: Clinton by 39 points, 105,000 votes
A landmark, of sorts
Hillary's Oregon Problem
Multiple Choice
The Early Bird still got the Worm
Two Wrongs make a Right?
Clinton wins West Virginia
Among working class whites, Clinton kicked Edwards' ass too
Delegate Scenarios, Edwards Edition
Today's Polls, 5/15
But Dukakis <span style="font-style:italic;">won</span> West Virginia
Gay rights issues present opportunities for both candidates
Meanwhile, on Planet Obama...
Today's Polls, 5/16
War Games?
But Dukakis won West Virginia
Meanwhile, on Planet Obama…
Hope for Hillary in Oregon?
Oregon: Swing State or latte-drinking, Prius-driving lesbian commune?
Today's Polls, 5/17
Like Kissing Your Sister
Today's Polls, 5/18
Clinton is blowing the popular vote argument
Oregon Projection: Obama by 13
Today's Polls, 5/19
Like Kissing Your Sister
It seems trivial now...
Kentucky Projection: Clinton by 19
Kentucky/Oregon Primary Night Thread
Move along, nothing to see here
Primary Night Thread II (Oregon)
RSS Feed
Revised Oregon turnout estimate
Today's Polls, 5/20
It seems trivial now…
Kentucky/Oregon wrap-up
National Review solves Fermat's Last Theorem
Three-Way?
Today's Polls, 5/21 [UPDATED]
Wish List
Primary Night Thread II (Oregon)
Can Obama Clinch on June 3rd?
Today's Polls II, 5/22
Today's Polls, 5/22
National Review solves Fermat’s Last Theorem
It's rare to tap the #2
Michigan: What would have happened?
Party Identification in Ohio
Today's Polls, 5/23
Today's Polls, 5/24
Michigan: What would have happened?
McCain-Jindal?
The odds of a recount
Today's Polls, 5/25
Limited Sample Size Department
The Libertarians' Big Tent
Today's Polls, 5/26
Adventures in Lannyland
Defeat with Dignity?
Today's Polls, 5/27
The Libertarians’ Big Tent
A Senior Surge?
Pollster Ratings, v3.1.1
Today's Polls, 5/28
Incoming!
Instant Coffee
Six versus half-a-dozen
Today's Polls, 5/29
No, I'm not Chuck Todd
Today's Polls, 5/30
Turnout in Puerto Rico
Six versus half-a-dozen
"A fair reflection of a flawed primary"
Michigan's turnout
Obama's new magic number: <strike>63</strike>? 64?
The choose-your-own-adventure primary
Obama’s new magic number: 63? 64?