fivethirtyeightindex

Explore 38,593 articles, datasets, podcasts, graphics and illustrations from fivethirtyeight.com

May 2008

Clinton +2 in North Carolina?
Voters v. Media: a concerning result
Indiana Prediction: Toss-Up, but tilts Clinton; possible 36-36 delegate split
Today’s Polls, 5/1
It’s not all about Obama
ARG Attacks!
Make your own North Carolina prediction
Today’s Polls: Obama and Clinton chasing 50% against McCain
Tarheel Tidbits
Today’s Polls, 5/3
OR-51 for the Win?
CBS/NYT: Both Dems lead McCain by double digits
Obama's favorite pollsters (and Clinton's)
North Carolina Prediction: Obama by Double Digits
Today’s Polls, 5/5
Late Movement?
Obama’s favorite pollsters (and Clinton’s)
African-American turnout in North Carolina, Part II
Indiana Scorecard
North Carolina Scorecard
The older bird gets the worm?
Obama Margin of Error
Election Night Thread
The Superdelegate Thermostat
Today's Polls, 5/7
Quote of the Day
Victory Lap?
The Eighth Reason
Did Clinton Misplay her Ace?
Today’s Polls, 5/7
The Superdelegate Thermostat
Hers if She Wants It?
Today’s Polls, 5/8
Everything you always wanted to know about Obama’s pledged delegate clinching scenarios*
Rasmussen: Obama leads Clinton by 11 since North Carolina victory
Challenge to Dick Bennett of American Research Group
Today’s Polls, 5/10
Does Clinton really lead in Swing Districts?
Electoral Projections Done Right: Black, Youth and Latino Turnout, and Obama's Electoral Map
Q&A on Minority Turnout Model
Tonight's Polls, 5/11
What are they waiting for?
Black, Youth and Latino Turnout, and Obama’s Electoral Map
Tonight’s Polls, 5/11
Q&A on Minority Turnout Model
Five Reasons why 2012 is a No-Go for Clinton
Today’s Polls, 5/12
Would Obama win the California primary today?
Clinton wins West Virginia
West Virginia Preview: Clinton by 39 points, 105,000 votes
Back-of-envelope
Clinton wins West Virginia
Two Wrongs make a Right?
The Early Bird still got the Worm
Hillary’s Oregon Problem
A landmark, of sorts
Multiple Choice
Delegate Scenarios, Edwards Edition
Among working class whites, Clinton kicked Edwards’ ass too
Today’s Polls, 5/15
But Dukakis <span style="font-style:italic;">won</span> West Virginia
Meanwhile, on Planet Obama...
But Dukakis won West Virginia
Meanwhile, on Planet Obama…
Gay rights issues present opportunities for both candidates
Today’s Polls, 5/16
War Games?
Today’s Polls, 5/17
Hope for Hillary in Oregon?
Oregon: Swing State or latte-drinking, Prius-driving lesbian commune?
Like Kissing Your Sister
Today’s Polls, 5/18
Like Kissing Your Sister
Oregon Projection: Obama by 13
Today’s Polls, 5/19
Clinton is blowing the popular vote argument
It seems trivial now...
Primary Night Thread II (Oregon)
Revised Oregon turnout estimate
Kentucky Projection: Clinton by 19
RSS Feed
Today’s Polls, 5/20
It seems trivial now…
Move along, nothing to see here
Kentucky/Oregon Primary Night Thread
National Review solves Fermat's Last Theorem
Primary Night Thread II (Oregon)
Kentucky/Oregon wrap-up
Today’s Polls, 5/21 [UPDATED]
Wish List
Three-Way?
National Review solves Fermat’s Last Theorem
Can Obama Clinch on June 3rd?
Today’s Polls, 5/22
Today’s Polls II, 5/22
Michigan: What would have happened?
It’s rare to tap the #2
Today’s Polls, 5/23
Party Identification in Ohio
Michigan: What would have happened?
Today’s Polls, 5/24
Today’s Polls, 5/25
The odds of a recount
McCain-Jindal?
The Libertarians' Big Tent
Today’s Polls, 5/26
Limited Sample Size Department
The Libertarians’ Big Tent
Adventures in Lannyland
Defeat with Dignity?
Today’s Polls, 5/27
Pollster Ratings, v3.1.1
Today’s Polls, 5/28
A Senior Surge?
Six versus half-a-dozen
Incoming!
Instant Coffee
Today’s Polls, 5/29
Six versus half-a-dozen
Turnout in Puerto Rico
No, I’m not Chuck Todd
Today’s Polls, 5/30
Obama's new magic number: <strike>63</strike>? 64?
The choose-your-own-adventure primary
“A fair reflection of a flawed primary”
Obama’s new magic number: 63? 64?
Michigan’s turnout