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April 2008

State-by-State Fundraising Numbers
A Game-Changer in Ohio?
The Reverse Bradley Effect: Fact or Fiction?
Site Fixes
Today’s Polls: Great News for Hillary
It’s 3 AM: Time to Fire Your Creative Director
Polls Now Weighted by Sample Size
Today’s Polls, 4/3: A 30,000-foot look at Pennsylvania
Today’s Polls, 4/4
The Clinton Voters who won’t vote for Obama, Part II
Saturday Night Nerdiness
Today’s Polls, 4/6
The Momentumless Primary
Graph(s) of the Day
Today’s Polls, 4/7
Clinton and Education Levels
Barr, the Libertarians and Georgia
Tonight's Polls, 4/8
If 538 were trying to predict the PA primary... [UPDATED]
Tonight’s Polls, 4/8
African-American turnout in the primaries
The Education Gap, Part II
If 538 were trying to predict the PA primary… [UPDATED]
We know even less than we think (a methodological note)
WNBC/Marist: New York a Swing State?
Makeover
Obama: the Zima-track candidate?
Today’s Polls: Alaska!
Small States, Big Advantage
If it worked for Joe Klein...
Regions
Contemplating the Unity Bounce
If it worked for Joe Klein…
Today’s Polls, 4/11
Clinton’s Unity Bounce
Regions
Today’s Polls, 4/12
Clinging to Guns
Regions, the resolution
Daily tracking polls show apparently split verdict on Obama
Michigan versus Ohio (and Pennsylvania)
Today’s Polls, 4/14
Michigan versus Ohio (and Pennsylvania)
ARG!
Quinnipiac: ‘Bitter’ having no effect in Pennsylvania’s small towns (updated)
Today’s Polls, 4/15
Electoral Projections Done Right: Pennsylvania Prediction: Clinton to net 12 delegates, 120K popular votes
Three Thoughts on Tonight's Debate
Pennsylvania Prediction: Clinton to net 12 delegates, 120K popular votes
Three Thoughts on Tonight’s Debate
On the value of the campaign
Today’s Polls, 4/17: Obama takes a hit, with caveat
Dear George: voters don’t care about electability
John McCain: Darling of the East Coast?
Today’s Polls, 4/18
Are Undecideds leaning Clinton in Pennsylvania?
The Other Side of the Undecided Coin
Today’s Polls, 4/20
The Pennsylvania Lottery
It’s the turnout, stupid! [UPDATED]
Today’s Polls, 4/21
The Road Not Taken
Expectations and Realities
Today’s (General Election) Polls, 4/22
Matt Drudge: Drama Queen
Pennsylvania Scorecard
Pennsylvania: Lackadaisical Liveblog
Today’s Polls, 4/23
Math for Donkeys
Indiana Stragglers (UPDATED)
Overton Window
Today’s Polls, 4/24
Will Clinton get a Keystone Bounce?
Indiana Stragglers (UPDATED)
The Vindictive Clinton Voter, and Other Myths
Today’s Polls, 4/25
Is Indiana really more important than North Carolina?
Regression Model Q&A
This Morning’s Poll, and a Regression Model Makeover
Regression Model Q&A
Is Indiana really more important than North Carolina?
The Road Veers Right
Call me contrarian, but...
Today's Polls, 4/28
Pollster Ratings v3.0
Call me contrarian, but…
Clinton’s Bounce
Wine States versus Beer States
Electoral Projections Done Right: Electoral History Charts
One benefit of falling poll numbers...
Today’s Polls, 4/28
Electoral History Charts
Clinton +2 in North Carolina?
Voters v. Media: a concerning result
One benefit of falling poll numbers…
Pollster Ratings, v3.1
This Morning’s Polls, 4/30