fivethirtyeightindex

Explore 21,350 pages from fivethirtyeight.com preserved by the Internet Archive

April 2008

State-by-State Fundraising Numbers
A Game-Changer in Ohio?
The Reverse Bradley Effect: Fact or Fiction?
Site Fixes
Today’s Polls: Great News for Hillary
It’s 3 AM: Time to Fire Your Creative Director
Polls Now Weighted by Sample Size
Today’s Polls, 4/3: A 30,000-foot look at Pennsylvania
Today’s Polls, 4/4
The Clinton Voters who won’t vote for Obama, Part II
Saturday Night Nerdiness
Today's Polls, 4/6
Barr, the Libertarians and Georgia
Clinton and Education Levels
Graph(s) of the Day
The Momentumless Primary
Today's Polls, 4/7
Tonight's Polls, 4/8
African-American turnout in the primaries
If 538 were trying to predict the PA primary... [UPDATED]
The Education Gap, Part II
WNBC/Marist: New York a Swing State?
We know even less than we think (a methodological note)
Tonight’s Polls, 4/8
If 538 were trying to predict the PA primary… [UPDATED]
Makeover
Obama: the Zima-track candidate?
Small States, Big Advantage
Today's Polls: Alaska!
Clinton's Unity Bounce
Contemplating the Unity Bounce
If it worked for Joe Klein...
Regions
Today's Polls, 4/11
If it worked for Joe Klein…
Clinging to Guns
Regions, the resolution
Today's Polls, 4/12
Regions
Daily tracking polls show apparently split verdict on Obama
Michigan versus Ohio (and Pennsylvania)
Today's Polls, 4/14
ARG!
Quinnipiac: 'Bitter' having no effect in Pennsylvania's small towns (updated)
Today's Polls, 4/15
Michigan versus Ohio (and Pennsylvania)
Electoral Projections Done Right: Pennsylvania Prediction: Clinton to net 12 delegates, 120K popular votes
Three Thoughts on Tonight's Debate
Pennsylvania Prediction: Clinton to net 12 delegates, 120K popular votes
Dear George: voters don't care about electability
On the value of the campaign
Today's Polls, 4/17: Obama takes a hit, with caveat
Three Thoughts on Tonight’s Debate
John McCain: Darling of the East Coast?
Today's Polls, 4/18
Are Undecideds leaning Clinton in Pennsylvania?
The Other Side of the Undecided Coin
It's the turnout, stupid! [UPDATED]
The Pennsylvania Lottery
The Road Not Taken
Today's Polls, 4/20
Today's Polls, 4/21
Expectations and Realities
Matt Drudge: Drama Queen
Pennsylvania Scorecard
Pennsylvania: Lackadaisical Liveblog
Today's (General Election) Polls, 4/22
Math for Donkeys
Today's Polls, 4/23
Indiana Stragglers (UPDATED)
Overton Window
Today's Polls, 4/24
Will Clinton get a Keystone Bounce?
The Vindictive Clinton Voter, and Other Myths
Today's Polls, 4/25
Indiana Stragglers (UPDATED)
Is Indiana really more important than North Carolina?
Regression Model Q&A
This Morning's Poll, and a Regression Model Makeover
The Road Veers Right
Regression Model Q&A
Is Indiana really more important than North Carolina?
Call me contrarian, but...
Clinton's Bounce
Pollster Ratings v3.0
Today's Polls, 4/28
Wine States versus Beer States
Call me contrarian, but…
Electoral Projections Done Right: Electoral History Charts
One benefit of falling poll numbers...
Today’s Polls, 4/28
Electoral History Charts
Clinton +2 in North Carolina?
Pollster Ratings, v3.1
This Morning's Polls, 4/30
Voters v. Media: a concerning result
One benefit of falling poll numbers…