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Explore 38,954 articles, datasets, podcasts, graphics and illustrations from fivethirtyeight.com

2013 graphics

164 matches

Two tables showing majority party support for House Speaker and minority party support for Minority Leader by Congress, with share of party vote and members not voting for the leader.

Tables 2013-01-04

Majority Party Support for House Speaker / Minority Party Support for Minority Leader

From Were the G.O.P. Votes Against Boehner a Historic Rejection? by Micah Cohen

Horizontal bar chart showing Sagarin Ratings for both teams in each BCS Championship game from 1999 to 2013.

Charts 2013-01-07

Sagarin Ratings for Teams in B.C.S. Championship

From A Marquee B.C.S. Matchup? To Be Determined by Nate Silver

Horizontal bar chart comparing TV ratings and average score margin after each quarter for BCS Championship Games from 1999 to 2012.

Charts 2013-01-07

TV Ratings and Competitiveness of B.C.S. Championship Games

From A Marquee B.C.S. Matchup? To Be Determined by Nate Silver

Table showing 2013 Baseball Hall of Fame voting percentages among voters who voted for and against Barry Bonds, with net difference for each candidate.

Tables 2013-01-08

Baseball Hall of Fame Voting, 2013

From Suspicion of Steroid Use Could Keep Bagwell and Piazza Out of Hall by Nate Silver

Table comparing 2012 and 2013 Baseball Hall of Fame voting results with expected vs actual 2013 percentages and variance for 13 players.

Tables 2013-01-12

Baseball HOF 2013 Voting: Actual vs. Projected Results

From In Cooperstown, a Crowded Waiting Room by Nate Silver

Table showing the effect of the 10-player ballot limit on Hall of Fame vote shares for 20 players, with columns for writer vote share, maximum possible vote gain, actual vote share, and maximum possible vote share.

Tables 2013-01-12

Effect of 10-Player Ballot Limit

From In Cooperstown, a Crowded Waiting Room by Nate Silver

Color-coded table showing projected increase in Hall of Fame vote share over time, with years on ballot versus starting vote share percentages.

Tables 2013-01-12

Projected Increase in Hall of Fame Vote Share Over Time

From In Cooperstown, a Crowded Waiting Room by Nate Silver

Stacked area chart showing US entitlement spending as a share of GDP from 1910 to 2010, broken down into Health Care, Pensions, and Welfare.

Charts 2013-01-16

Entitlement Spending as Share of GDP

From What Is Driving Growth in Government Spending? by Nate Silver

Stacked area chart showing federal government spending as a share of GDP from 1910 to 2010, broken down by entitlement programs, defense, infrastructure and services, and interest.

Charts 2013-01-16

Federal Government Spending as Share of GDP

From What Is Driving Growth in Government Spending? by Nate Silver

Line chart showing US interest expense as a share of gross public debt from 1910 to 2010, peaking near 7% in the early 1980s and falling to about 2% by 2010.

Charts 2013-01-16

Interest Expense as Share of Gross Public Debt

From What Is Driving Growth in Government Spending? by Nate Silver

Horizontal bar chart showing net contribution to total US budget growth as share of GDP from 1972 to 2011, broken down by spending category.

Charts 2013-01-16

Net Contribution to Total Budget Growth as Share of GDP 1972-2011

From What Is Driving Growth in Government Spending? by Nate Silver

Stacked area chart showing share of total noninterest government spending split between entitlement programs and infrastructure, services and defense from 1910 to 2010.

Charts 2013-01-16

Share of Total Noninterest Government Spending

From What Is Driving Growth in Government Spending? by Nate Silver

Stacked area chart showing state and local government spending as a share of GDP from 1910 to 2010, broken down by entitlement programs, defense, infrastructure and services, and interest.

Charts 2013-01-16

State & Local Government Spending as Share of GDP

From What Is Driving Growth in Government Spending? by Nate Silver

Horizontal bar chart showing total government spending annualized growth rates from 1972 to 2011 across categories like entitlements, infrastructure, defense, and GDP.

Charts 2013-01-16

Total Government Spending Annualized Growth Rate, 1972-2011

From What Is Driving Growth in Government Spending? by Nate Silver

Stacked area chart showing total US government spending as a share of GDP from 1910 to 2010, broken down into entitlement programs, defense, infrastructure and services, and interest.

Charts 2013-01-16

Total Government Spending as Share of GDP

From What Is Driving Growth in Government Spending? by Nate Silver

Line chart comparing net approval rating in January of first year of second term versus popular vote margin of victory for US presidents from 1949 to 2013.

Charts 2013-01-20

Net Approval Rating vs. Popular Vote Margin of Victory, Second-Term Presidents

From For Second-Term Presidents, a Shorter Honeymoon by Nate Silver

Table of presidential approval ratings in January of the first year of each president's second term, showing approve, disapprove, net, and popular vote margin of victory.

Tables 2013-01-20

Presidential Approval Ratings, January, First Year of Second Term

From For Second-Term Presidents, a Shorter Honeymoon by Nate Silver

Table comparing presidential approval ratings at the start of second term versus average approval rating throughout second term, from Truman to Obama.

Tables 2013-01-20

Presidential Approval Ratings: Start vs. Average of Second Term

From For Second-Term Presidents, a Shorter Honeymoon by Nate Silver

Table showing US presidents who died during their first term, listing their year of death and historians' rank.

Tables 2013-01-23

Died During First Term

From Contemplating Obama’s Place in History, Statistically by Nate Silver

Table listing US presidents nominated for a second term and lost, with their election year and historians' rank, color-coded by rank.

Tables 2013-01-23

Nominated for Second Term and Lost

From Contemplating Obama’s Place in History, Statistically by Nate Silver

Table showing US presidents not nominated for a second term, listing their year and historians' rank, with color-coded cells.

Tables 2013-01-23

Not Nominated for Second Term — Presidents and Historians' Rank

From Contemplating Obama’s Place in History, Statistically by Nate Silver

Table of US presidents by electoral vote share when seeking a second term, with historians' rank and color-coded results showing winners and losers.

Tables 2013-01-23

Presidents by Electoral Vote Share When Seeking Second Term

From Contemplating Obama’s Place in History, Statistically by Nate Silver

Scatter plot showing historians' presidential rankings versus share of electoral vote received, with separate trend lines for presidents who won or lost a second term.

Charts 2013-01-23

Share of Electoral Vote Received vs. Historians' Rank

From Contemplating Obama’s Place in History, Statistically by Nate Silver

Table listing US presidents who won a second term, their reelection year, and historians' rank, color-coded by rank tier.

Tables 2013-01-23

Won Second Term — Presidents and Historians' Rank

From Contemplating Obama’s Place in History, Statistically by Nate Silver

Horizontal bar chart showing states where Obama would gain electoral votes, with Texas leading at +11 and a total of +32 electoral votes gained.

Charts 2013-01-26

Where Obama Would Gain Electoral Votes

From Electoral College Changes Would Pose Danger for Democrats by Micah Cohen

Horizontal bar chart showing where Romney would gain electoral votes by state, with highlighted swing states, totaling +103 electoral votes.

Charts 2013-01-26

Where Romney Would Gain Electoral Votes

From Electoral College Changes Would Pose Danger for Democrats by Micah Cohen

Table showing who would be president under different electoral vote assignment scenarios by congressional district, comparing Obama and Romney vote counts.

Tables 2013-01-26

Who Would Be President If Electoral Votes Were Assigned by Congressional District?

From Electoral College Changes Would Pose Danger for Democrats by Micah Cohen

Horizontal bar chart showing the Hispanic share of Republican congressional districts, with 142 districts at 0-10% Hispanic share declining to 0 at higher percentages.

Charts 2013-02-03

Hispanic Share of Republican Congressional Districts

From Which G.O.P. House Members Might Support Immigration Reform? by Micah Cohen

Table listing House Republicans with heavily Hispanic districts, showing district code, representative name, and Hispanic share of district as a percentage with bar chart.

Tables 2013-02-03

House Republicans With Heavily Hispanic Districts

From Which G.O.P. House Members Might Support Immigration Reform? by Micah Cohen

Grid chart showing which red states had Democratic governors from 2001 to 2013, with blue cells indicating Democratic control and summary rows showing count and share held by Democrats.

Charts 2013-02-05

Democratic Governors in Red States

From Party-Line Voting Makes Scott Brown Part of a Dying Breed in the Senate by Nate Silver

Grid chart showing Democratic senators in red states from 2001 to 2013, with blue cells indicating Democratic representation by state and year.

Charts 2013-02-05

Democratic Senators in Red States

From Party-Line Voting Makes Scott Brown Part of a Dying Breed in the Senate by Nate Silver

Grid chart showing years when Republican governors held office in blue states from 2001 to 2013, with red cells indicating GOP control and summary statistics below.

Charts 2013-02-05

G.O.P. Governors in Blue States

From Party-Line Voting Makes Scott Brown Part of a Dying Breed in the Senate by Nate Silver

Grid chart showing years when Republican senators held seats in blue states from 2001 to 2013, with red bars indicating GOP occupancy and share statistics below.

Charts 2013-02-05

G.O.P. Senators in Blue States

From Party-Line Voting Makes Scott Brown Part of a Dying Breed in the Senate by Nate Silver

Line chart showing the percentage of opposite-party seats held by Governors and Senators from 2001 to 2013, with both declining over time.

Charts 2013-02-05

Opposite-Party Seats Held

From Party-Line Voting Makes Scott Brown Part of a Dying Breed in the Senate by Nate Silver

Table comparing establishment vs insurgent candidates in 2010 and 2012 Republican primaries, showing money raised pre-primary and vote share for each.

Tables 2013-02-11

Establishment vs. Insurgent Candidates: Money Raised and Vote Share (2010-2012)

From New Rove Group Could Backfire on G.O.P. by Nate Silver

Scatter plot showing fundraising share vs victory margin for establishment candidates in Republican Senate Primaries 2010-2012, with a trend line showing R-squared of 0.2777.

Charts 2013-02-11

Fundraising and Performance: Republican Senate Primaries, 2010-2012

From New Rove Group Could Backfire on G.O.P. by Nate Silver

Scatter plot showing the relationship between Democratic candidate share of funds raised and margin of victory in Senate general elections from 1990 to 2010, with R squared of 0.551.

Charts 2013-02-11

Fundraising and Performance: Senate General Elections, 1990-2010

From New Rove Group Could Backfire on G.O.P. by Nate Silver

Table of conservatism scores for potential G.O.P. presidential candidates across congressional voting record, fund-raising, public issue statements, and combined score.

Tables 2013-02-19

Conservatism Scores for Potential G.O.P. Presidential Candidates

From Marco Rubio: The Electable Conservative? by Nate Silver

2014 Senate Snapshot table showing incumbents by competitiveness category with Democratic and Republican probability bars for each race.

Tables 2013-02-20

2014 Senate Snapshot

From Can Republicans Win the Senate in 2014? by Nate Silver

Horizontal bar chart showing Best Actor Oscar probability scores for five nominees including Daniel Day-Lewis for Lincoln with the highest score of 3.17.

Charts 2013-02-22

Best Actor Oscar Probabilities

From Oscar Predictions, Election-Style by Nate Silver

Horizontal bar chart showing Best Actress Oscar contenders with probability scores, led by Jennifer Lawrence for Silver Linings Playbook at 1.49.

Charts 2013-02-22

Best Actress Oscar Probabilities

From Oscar Predictions, Election-Style by Nate Silver

Table showing Best Director Oscar nominees with numerical scores, including Steven Spielberg for Lincoln at top with 0.58.

Tables 2013-02-22

Best Director Oscar Nominees with Scores

From Oscar Predictions, Election-Style by Nate Silver

Horizontal bar chart showing Best Picture Oscar odds for 9 films, with Argo leading at 4.77.

Charts 2013-02-22

Best Picture Oscar Odds

From Oscar Predictions, Election-Style by Nate Silver

Horizontal bar chart showing Best Supporting Actor Oscar odds for five nominees including Tommy Lee Jones, Philip Seymour Hoffman, Christoph Waltz, Alan Arkin, and Robert De Niro.

Charts 2013-02-22

Best Supporting Actor Oscar Odds

From Oscar Predictions, Election-Style by Nate Silver

Horizontal bar chart showing Best Supporting Actress Oscar predictions with numerical scores for five nominees.

Charts 2013-02-22

Best Supporting Actress Oscar Predictions

From Oscar Predictions, Election-Style by Nate Silver

Table showing Oscar precursor awards with their type, success rate, weight, and this year's winner for predicting Best Picture.

Tables 2013-02-22

Oscar Precursor Awards: Success Rate, Weight, and This Year's Winner

From Oscar Predictions, Election-Style by Nate Silver

Line chart comparing Obama vote share by cumulative electoral votes for current U.S. states versus Freeman equal-population states, highlighting excess Democratic votes in city-states.

Charts 2013-02-26

Obama Vote Share: Current U.S. States vs. Freeman Equal-Population States

From Did Democrats Get Lucky in the Electoral College? by Nate Silver

Line chart comparing Obama vote share by cumulative electoral votes for current U.S. states versus Freeman equal-population states.

Charts 2013-02-26

Obama Vote Share: Current U.S. States vs. Freeman Equal-Population States

From Did Democrats Get Lucky in the Electoral College? by Nate Silver

A redrawn map of the United States divided into fifty states with equal population, each given new names like Rainier, Ogallala, and Miami.

Maps 2013-02-26

The United States Redrawn as Fifty States with Equal Population

From Did Democrats Get Lucky in the Electoral College? by Nate Silver

Color-coded table showing Urban, Suburban, and Rural population division percentages by US state, with highlighted cells indicating dominant category per state.

Tables 2013-02-26

Urban-Suburban-Rural Division by State

From Did Democrats Get Lucky in the Electoral College? by Nate Silver

Table showing recent Senate confirmation votes for Secretary of Defense from 1977 to 2013, including yeas, nays, margin, and result.

Tables 2013-02-26

Recent Confirmation Votes For Secretary of Defense

From An Unusually Partisan Confirmation Vote by Micah Cohen

Table comparing 2012 and hypothetical 2016 two-party vote shares for Obama and Romney across nine states, with bar charts showing change in Obama's margin.

Tables 2013-03-01

2012 Two-Party Vote Shares With Hypothetical 2016 Electorate

From Can Democrats Turn Texas and Arizona Blue by 2016? by Micah Cohen

Stacked bar chart from Center for American Progress showing projections of eligible voters by race (Non-Hispanic White, Hispanic, Black, Asian) for 2012, 2014, and 2016 across 12 US states.

Charts 2013-03-01

Projections for 2016 Eligible Voters by Race and State

From Can Democrats Turn Texas and Arizona Blue by 2016? by Micah Cohen

Line chart showing California approval and disapproval of same-sex marriage rights from 2003 to 2013, with approval rising to 61% and disapproval falling to 32%.

Charts 2013-03-01

By a ratio of nearly 2 to 1, a record share of Californians now support giving same-sex couples the right to marry

From Poll Finds Record Support for Same-Sex Marriage in California by Micah Cohen

Table of papal betting lines listing 25 cardinals with their nationality, age, and average chance percentage of becoming pope.

Tables 2013-03-04

Papal Betting Lines

From What Betting Markets Are Saying About the Next Pope by Micah Cohen

Table showing 1964 voting rates among voting-age noninstitutional civilian population by region and race (Nonwhite vs White) from the Current Population Survey.

Tables 2013-03-07

1964 Voting Rates Among Voting-Age Noninstitutional Civilian Population

From In Supreme Court Debate on Voting Rights Act, a Dubious Use of Statistics by Nate Silver

Table showing 2004 voting rates among voting-age citizen population by Voting Rights Act Section 5 coverage status and race.

Tables 2013-03-07

2004 Voting Rates Among Voting-Age Citizen Population

From In Supreme Court Debate on Voting Rights Act, a Dubious Use of Statistics by Nate Silver

Table showing change in stock market prices on Nov. 7, 2012 for banks, coal and oil, and health care sectors with open, close, percentage change, and market cap change.

Tables 2013-03-11

Change in Stock Market Prices on Nov. 7, 2012

From Even Without Intrade, Billions Will Be Bet on 2016 Race by Nate Silver

Scatter plot with trend lines showing popes' age at start and end of papacy from 1500 to 2000.

Charts 2013-03-14

Age at Start and End of Papacy, 1500–2000

From For Cardinals, Advantages in Choosing an Older Pope by Nate Silver

Table showing average age of popes at start and end of papacy across four historical periods from 1503 to 2013.

Tables 2013-03-14

Average Age of Popes at Start and End of Papacy by Period

From For Cardinals, Advantages in Choosing an Older Pope by Nate Silver

Table of early presidential primary polling averages for Republican and Democratic candidates across multiple election cycles from 1984 to 2012, with eventual nominees highlighted in yellow.

Tables 2013-03-14

Early Presidential Primary Polling Between the Preceding Presidential Election and the Preceding Midterms

From Is It Too Early for 2016 Polls? by Micah Cohen

Early Primary Polling 2016 table showing average poll percentages for Republican and Democratic candidates from November 2012 to March 2013.

Tables 2013-03-14

Early Primary Polling, 2016

From Is It Too Early for 2016 Polls? by Micah Cohen

Table showing support for gay marriage by partisan identification across seven polling firms from 2012-2013, with percentages for Democrats, Independents, and Republicans.

Tables 2013-03-15

Support for Gay Marriage, By Partisan Identification

From Among G.O.P. Voters, Little Support for Same-Sex Marriage by Nate Silver

Table comparing top college basketball teams and their championship odds for 2011, 2012, and 2013 seasons, with Kentucky highlighted in 2012.

Tables 2013-03-18

College Basketball Championship Odds 2011–2013

From Parity in N.C.A.A. Means No Commanding Favorite by Nate Silver

East Advancement Probabilities table showing NCAA tournament advancement percentages for 16 teams across rounds from Round of 64 through NCAA Championship.

Tables 2013-03-18

East Advancement Probabilities

From Parity in N.C.A.A. Means No Commanding Favorite by Nate Silver

Table showing Midwest region NCAA tournament advancement probabilities for 16 teams across rounds from Round of 64 through NCAA Championship.

Tables 2013-03-18

Midwest Advancement Probabilities

From Parity in N.C.A.A. Means No Commanding Favorite by Nate Silver

South region NCAA tournament advancement probabilities table showing each team's chances of advancing through each round from Round of 64 to NCAA Championship.

Tables 2013-03-18

South Advancement Probabilities

From Parity in N.C.A.A. Means No Commanding Favorite by Nate Silver

Table showing West region NCAA tournament advancement probabilities for 16 teams across rounds from Round of 64 through NCAA Championship.

Tables 2013-03-18

West Advancement Probabilities

From Parity in N.C.A.A. Means No Commanding Favorite by Nate Silver

Table showing poll results on President Obama's handling of the economy, with approve and disapprove percentages from various pollsters between October 2012 and March 2013.

Tables 2013-03-23

President Obama's Handling of the Economy

From Obama Has Lost Advantage Over G.O.P. on Economy by Micah Cohen

Table showing poll results on who voters trust to handle the economy better, comparing Obama vs GOP across five polls from late 2012 to early 2013.

Tables 2013-03-23

Who Do You Trust to do a Better Job Handling the Economy...

From Obama Has Lost Advantage Over G.O.P. on Economy by Micah Cohen

Table showing FiveThirtyEight model odds for Florida Gulf Coast University at each tournament stage, before and after results.

Tables 2013-03-25

Odds for Florida Gulf Coast University

From Evaluating the Odds for Florida Gulf Coast and the Rest of the Final 16 Teams by Nate Silver

Table showing projected support for same-sex marriage in ballot initiatives by state for 2008, 2012, 2016, and 2020, with color coding indicating majority support levels.

Tables 2013-03-26

Projected Support for Same-Sex Marriage in Ballot Initiative

From How Opinion on Same-Sex Marriage Is Changing, and What It Means by Nate Silver

Table showing projected support for same-sex marriage in ballot initiatives by US state in 2008, with percentages ranging from Mississippi at 20.9% to DC at 57.1%.

Tables 2013-03-26

Projected Support for Same-Sex Marriage in Ballot Initiative, 2008

From How Opinion on Same-Sex Marriage Is Changing, and What It Means by Nate Silver

Line chart showing same-sex marriage support from 1996 to 2013 with both a LOESS smoothed curve and a linear trend line overlaid on scatter plot data points.

Charts 2013-03-26

Same-Sex Marriage Support: Linear and LOESS Trend

From How Opinion on Same-Sex Marriage Is Changing, and What It Means by Nate Silver

Line chart showing national polling trends on same-sex marriage support versus opposition from 1996 to 2013, with the two lines converging around 2011-2012.

Charts 2013-03-26

Same-Sex Marriage: National Polling Trend

From How Opinion on Same-Sex Marriage Is Changing, and What It Means by Nate Silver

Table showing support for same-sex marriage in 2012 ballot initiatives comparing accelerated model, linear model, and actual results for five states.

Tables 2013-03-26

Support for Same-Sex Marriage in Ballot Initiatives, 2012

From How Opinion on Same-Sex Marriage Is Changing, and What It Means by Nate Silver

Table showing 2013 polling data on support for same-sex marriage, listing favor and oppose percentages from eight polling firms with an average of 51.0 favor and 42.5 oppose.

Tables 2013-03-26

Support for Same-Sex Marriage, 2013 Polls

From How Opinion on Same-Sex Marriage Is Changing, and What It Means by Nate Silver

Horizontal bar chart showing average freshman senators per election by decade from the 1910s to 2010-12, with values ranging from 10 to 16.8.

Charts 2013-03-28

New Senators by Decade

From Retirements Contributing to Largest Senate Turnover in Decades by Micah Cohen

Horizontal bar chart showing Senate retirements per Congress from the 93rd (1973-74) through the 113th (2013-14), with average 6.5 and median 6.

Charts 2013-03-28

Senate Retirements Per Congress

From Retirements Contributing to Largest Senate Turnover in Decades by Micah Cohen

Logistic regression output table showing coefficients, robust standard errors, z-scores, p-values, and 95% confidence intervals for variables predicting SSM support.

Tables 2013-04-04

Logistic Regression Results Table – SSM Model

From Explaining the Senate’s Surge in Support for Same-Sex Marriage by Nate Silver

Logistic regression output table showing coefficients, robust standard errors, z-scores, p-values, and 95% confidence intervals for variables predicting SSM.

Tables 2013-04-04

Logistic Regression Results Table – SSM Model

From Explaining the Senate’s Surge in Support for Same-Sex Marriage by Nate Silver

Bar and line chart showing the percent of US Senators endorsing same-sex marriage from 1997 to 2013, comparing actual values with a logistic model projection.

Charts 2013-04-04

Percent of Senators Endorsing Same-Sex Marriage Logistic Model

From Explaining the Senate’s Surge in Support for Same-Sex Marriage by Nate Silver

Bar and line chart showing the percent of US Senators endorsing same-sex marriage from 1997 to 2013, with actual values as blue bars and a projected red curve.

Charts 2013-04-04

Percent of Senators Endorsing Same-Sex Marriage Majority Model

From Explaining the Senate’s Surge in Support for Same-Sex Marriage by Nate Silver

Table showing job approval ratings for US governors up for reelection in 2014, including approval, disapproval, and net job approval figures with bar indicators.

Tables 2013-04-08

Job Approval for Governors Up for Reelection in 2014

From Which Governors Are Most Vulnerable in 2014? by Micah Cohen

Line chart showing Mitt Romney's favorability ratings in Massachusetts from 2003 to 2006, with approval and disapproval trend lines.

Charts 2013-04-09

Mitt Romney: Favorability Ratings in Massachusetts

From With Popularity Fading at Home, Is Jindal the New Romney? by Nate Silver

Table of conservatism measures for GOP governors showing congressional voting record, fund-raising, public issue statements, and combined scores by state.

Tables 2013-04-17

Conservatism Measures for G.O.P. Governors

From In State Governments, Signs of a Healthier G.O.P. by Nate Silver

Table of conservatism measures for GOP senators showing congressional voting record, fund-raising, public issue statements, and combined scores by state.

Tables 2013-04-17

Conservatism Measures for G.O.P. Senators

From In State Governments, Signs of a Healthier G.O.P. by Nate Silver

Scatter plot showing conservatism rating versus Obama 2012 vote share with a negative trend line and R-squared of 0.062

Charts 2013-04-17

Conservatism Rating vs. Obama Vote Share, 2012

From In State Governments, Signs of a Healthier G.O.P. by Nate Silver

Table showing conservatism rating, Obama 2012 vote share, and net approval rating for Republican governors across US states, sorted by conservatism score.

Tables 2013-04-17

Conservatism and Approval for G.O.P. Governors

From In State Governments, Signs of a Healthier G.O.P. by Nate Silver

Regression output table from Stata showing OLS results for netapproval on conserv and obama2012 variables with 25 observations.

Tables 2013-04-17

Regression: netapproval cons obama — Stata output

From In State Governments, Signs of a Healthier G.O.P. by Nate Silver

Stacked bar chart showing New York Mayor Democratic Primary Poll results from Marist/NBC New York, with favorability breakdowns for six candidates.

Charts 2013-04-17

New York Mayor -- Democratic Primary Poll

From Why Weiner’s Mayoral Bid Is a Long Shot by Nate Silver

Stacked bar chart showing New York Mayor Democratic Primary Poll results from Marist/NBC New York, displaying first choice, favorable, and unfavorable ratings for six candidates.

Charts 2013-04-17

New York Mayor -- Democratic Primary Poll

From Why Weiner’s Mayoral Bid Is a Long Shot by Nate Silver

Table showing projected and actual votes on the Manchin Amendment by US senator, with state, senator name, vote cast, and modelled probability of voting Aye.

Tables 2013-04-18

Projected and Actual Votes on Manchin Amendment

From Modeling the Senate’s Vote on Gun Control by Nate Silver

Horizontal bar chart comparing poll results on whether terror suspects should be Mirandized or not, showing four survey questions with percentage breakdowns.

Charts 2013-04-21

Terror Suspects and Miranda Rights

From Small Majority Approved of Miranda Rights for Terror Suspects by Micah Cohen

Line chart showing probability of voting for the Manchin Amendment by gun ownership rate in state, comparing senators running in 2014 vs not running in 2014.

Charts 2013-04-23

Probability of Voting for Manchin Amendment by Gun Ownership Rate and Election Status

From The Gun Vote and 2014: Will There Be an Electoral Price? by Nate Silver

Table of US Senators not running in 2014, showing state, senator name, gun ownership rate in state, and vote on Manchin Amendment, color-coded red for Nay and blue for Aye.

Tables 2013-04-23

Senators Not Running in 2014: Gun Ownership Rate vs. Manchin Amendment Vote

From The Gun Vote and 2014: Will There Be an Electoral Price? by Nate Silver

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