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Explore 38,954 articles, datasets, podcasts, graphics and illustrations from fivethirtyeight.com

June 2010 graphics

85 matches

Table comparing average polling errors for Zogby Interactive, Harris Interactive, and YouGov versus telephone polls across various elections from 1998 to 2008.

Tables 2010-06-01

Average Error: Online vs. Telephone Polls (Zogby, Harris, YouGov)

From Zogby Broke the Internet, But it Can be Fixed by Nate Silver

Election results table for Bogota D.C. showing candidates, votes, and percentages with Santos leading at 40.3%.

Tables 2010-06-03

Bogota D.C. Election Results

From Colombia Redux: Mockus is in Big Trouble by Renard Sexton

Table showing percentage of votes each candidate's supporters would transfer to Santos or Mockus in a runoff election.

Tables 2010-06-03

Candidate Vote Transfer to Santos vs. Mockus

From Colombia Redux: Mockus is in Big Trouble by Renard Sexton

Polling table from Centro National de Consultoria showing Colombian presidential candidate support percentages across multiple dates in 2010, with a final 30 May actual result row.

Tables 2010-06-03

Centro National de Consultoria – Colombian Presidential Poll Results

From Colombia Redux: Mockus is in Big Trouble by Renard Sexton

Map of Colombia showing regional election results with most departments in orange for Juan Manuel Santos and a small southern region in dark green for Antanas Mockus.

Maps 2010-06-03

Colombia Election Results Map: Santos vs. Mockus

From Colombia Redux: Mockus is in Big Trouble by Renard Sexton

Bar chart showing Colombia Presidential First Round 2010 election results by department, comparing Santos and Mockus vote shares.

Charts 2010-06-03

Colombia Presidential First Round 2010 Results by Department

From Colombia Redux: Mockus is in Big Trouble by Renard Sexton

Election results table showing candidates, votes, percentages, and party affiliations from a Colombian electoral commission, dated 30 May.

Tables 2010-06-03

Colombian Election Results – Votes, Percent, and Party

From Colombia Redux: Mockus is in Big Trouble by Renard Sexton

Table showing last national poll before election by pollster, with vote share percentages for Petro, Lleras, Santos, Mockus, Sanin, and total error.

Tables 2010-06-03

Last National Poll Before Election by Pollster

From Colombia Redux: Mockus is in Big Trouble by Renard Sexton

Scatter plot showing Mockus vote share by department versus percentage in poverty, with data points clustered between 10-30% vote share.

Charts 2010-06-03

Mockus vote share by department

From Colombia Redux: Mockus is in Big Trouble by Renard Sexton

Scatter plot showing Santos vote share percentage versus poverty rate by department, with data points spread across poverty levels from 0 to 100 percent.

Charts 2010-06-03

Santos vote share by department

From Colombia Redux: Mockus is in Big Trouble by Renard Sexton

Election results table comparing vote totals for candidates Santos and Mockus, showing Santos won with 59% versus Mockus 41%.

Tables 2010-06-03

Santos vs. Mockus Election Results Table

From Colombia Redux: Mockus is in Big Trouble by Renard Sexton

Horizontal bar chart showing polling error by type of race, with U.S. Senate and Governor primary elections having the highest error at 7.8.

Charts 2010-06-06

Polling Error by Type of Race

From Pollster Ratings v4.0: Methodology by Nate Silver

Stata regression output showing rawscore regressed on ncppaapor, internet, and partisanflag variables with coefficients, standard errors, t-statistics, and p-values.

Charts 2010-06-06

Stata Regression Output: rawscore on ncppaapor, internet, partisanflag

From Pollster Ratings v4.0: Methodology by Nate Silver

Ranked table of polling organizations with numeric scores and change indicators, including color-coded symbols for pollster ratings from FiveThirtyEight.

Tables 2010-06-06

FiveThirtyEight Pollster Ratings Table

From Pollster Ratings v4.0: Results by Nate Silver

Table ranking pollsters by PIE score with columns for pollster name, PIE value, sample size n, and raw score, including icons indicating AAPOR compliance and pollster type.

Tables 2010-06-06

Pollster Ratings by PIE Score

From Pollster Ratings v4.0: Results by Nate Silver

Promotional editorial graphic quoting Time Magazine naming Nate Silver one of the world's 100 most influential people and highlighting his reliance on InsiderAdvantage polling data.

Other 2010-06-08

Nate Silver Relied on InsiderAdvantage – Time Magazine 100 Most Influential

From Pollster Scorecard: InsiderAdvantage (Be Careful What You Wish For) by Nate Silver

Scatter plot comparing Halter margin vs Lincoln today versus May primary results, with a linear regression line and R-squared of 0.8959.

Charts 2010-06-08

Halter Margin vs Lincoln

From Primary Night in America / 6.8.2010 by Nate Silver

Scatter plot comparing Halter margin vs Lincoln with a trend line, showing today's margin on Y-axis versus May primary margin on X-axis, with R-squared of 0.8708.

Charts 2010-06-08

Halter Margin vs Lincoln

From Primary Night in America / 6.8.2010 by Nate Silver

Horizontal bar chart comparing Angle vs Lowden vote percentages in medium-sized Nevada counties, with red bars for Angle and pink bars for Lowden.

Charts 2010-06-09

Angle v. Lowden, Medium-Sized Counties

From Sharron’s Rural Angle by Tom Schaller

Stacked bar chart showing share of votes in the GOP Nevada Senate Primary across three voter groups: Yesterday's Vote, GOP active voters, and GOP total voters.

Charts 2010-06-09

Share of Votes, GOP Nevada Senate Primary

From Sharron’s Rural Angle by Tom Schaller

Table showing 2007 Belgian General Election Results with vote share, seats, and percent for each party.

Tables 2010-06-09

2007 Belgian General Election Results

From Belgium: Making Afghan Politics Seem Straightforward by Renard Sexton

Table showing Belgian regions Flanders, Wallonie, and Brussels-Halle-Vilvoorde with MPs count, population, and ratio per MP for each province.

Tables 2010-06-09

Belgian Regions: MPs, Population, and Ratio by Province

From Belgium: Making Afghan Politics Seem Straightforward by Renard Sexton

Political map of Belgium and Luxembourg showing provinces, major cities, and neighboring countries including France, Netherlands, Germany, and the North Sea.

Maps 2010-06-09

Belgium & Luxembourg Map

From Belgium: Making Afghan Politics Seem Straightforward by Renard Sexton

Table showing Belgian governments following the June 2007 election, listing government names, date ranges, and lengths in months.

Tables 2010-06-09

Governments in Belgium Following the June 2007 Election

From Belgium: Making Afghan Politics Seem Straightforward by Renard Sexton

Scatter plot showing the relationship between non-white registrant share and Alvin Greene vote share in South Carolina primary, with a positive trend line.

Charts 2010-06-11

Non-White Registrant Share v. Greene Vote Share

From Something Fishy in South Carolina? by Tom Schaller

Table showing college football conference realignment with Pac 16, Big 16, SEC, and ACC columns, with some schools highlighted in yellow.

Tables 2010-06-12

College Football Conference Realignment Table

From Yes, Virginia (and Kansas and Missouri — but not you, Baylor), there is an Equilibrium Solution to the Great Conference Shakeout by Nate Silver

Line chart showing household debt service payments as a percent of disposable personal income from 1980 to 2010, with shaded areas indicating US recessions.

Charts 2010-06-13

Household Debt Service Payments as a Percent of Disposable Personal Income (TDSP)

From Beige Book and Flow of Funds Overview by Hale Stewart

Line chart showing US Household Financial Obligations as a percent of Disposable Personal Income from 1980 to 2010, with shaded recession periods.

Charts 2010-06-13

Household Financial Obligations as a percent of Disposable Personal Income (FODSP)

From Beige Book and Flow of Funds Overview by Hale Stewart

Line chart showing Household Credit Market Debt Outstanding (CMDEBT) from 2005 to 2010, with shaded areas indicating US recessions.

Charts 2010-06-13

Household Sector: Liabilities: Household Credit Market Debt Outstanding (CMDEBT)

From Beige Book and Flow of Funds Overview by Hale Stewart

Line chart of ISM Manufacturing PMI Composite Index from 2005 to 2011, showing a sharp drop during the 2008-2009 recession shaded period.

Charts 2010-06-13

ISM Manufacturing: PMI Composite Index (NAPM)

From Beige Book and Flow of Funds Overview by Hale Stewart

Line chart of ISM Nonmanufacturing Business Activity Index from 1996 to 2012 with shaded areas indicating US recessions.

Charts 2010-06-13

ISM Nonmanufacturing: Business Activity Index (NMFBAI)

From Beige Book and Flow of Funds Overview by Hale Stewart

Line chart of US total business inventories from 2005 to 2011, showing a rise to peak around 2008, sharp drop during recession, and partial recovery.

Charts 2010-06-13

Inventories: Total Business (BUSINV) 2005–2011

From Beige Book and Flow of Funds Overview by Hale Stewart

Line chart showing real change in private inventories from 2005 to 2010 in billions of chained 2005 dollars, with shaded areas indicating US recessions.

Charts 2010-06-13

Real Change in Private Inventories, 3 Decimal (CBIC96)

From Beige Book and Flow of Funds Overview by Hale Stewart

Line chart of Real Gross Private Domestic Investment from 2005 to 2010 in billions of chained 2005 dollars, showing a sharp decline during the 2008-2009 recession.

Charts 2010-06-13

Real Gross Private Domestic Investment, 3 Decimal (GPDI C96)

From Beige Book and Flow of Funds Overview by Hale Stewart

Line chart of Real Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCEC96) from 2005 to 2011, with shaded area indicating the US recession period around 2008-2009.

Charts 2010-06-13

Real Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCEC96) 2005–2011

From Beige Book and Flow of Funds Overview by Hale Stewart

Line chart of Real Personal Consumption Expenditures for Durable Goods from 2005 to 2011, showing a peak around 2008 and sharp decline during the US recession.

Charts 2010-06-13

Real Personal Consumption Expenditures: Durable Goods (PCEDGC96)

From Beige Book and Flow of Funds Overview by Hale Stewart

Line chart of Real Personal Consumption Expenditures for Nondurable Goods (PCENDC96) from 2005 to 2011, with shaded area indicating the US recession period around 2008-2009.

Charts 2010-06-13

Real Personal Consumption Expenditures: Nondurable Goods (PCENDC96)

From Beige Book and Flow of Funds Overview by Hale Stewart

Line chart of Real Personal Consumption Expenditures for Services (PCESC96) from 2005 to 2011, with shaded area indicating the US recession period around 2008-2009.

Charts 2010-06-13

Real Personal Consumption Expenditures: Services (PCESC96)

From Beige Book and Flow of Funds Overview by Hale Stewart

Table showing Belgian election results for Flemish and Walloon regions, listing parties with votes, national percentage, regional percentage, and seats.

Tables 2010-06-14

Belgian Election Results: Flemish and Walloon Regions

From FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: Belgian Election Ushers in Further Uncertainty by Renard Sexton

Table showing GDP per capita in Euros for 2007 across Belgian regions including Brussels-Capital Region, Flanders, Wallonia, and their sub-regions.

Tables 2010-06-14

GDP per capita by Belgian Region, Euros (2007)

From FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: Belgian Election Ushers in Further Uncertainty by Renard Sexton

Line chart showing GDP per capita as a percentage of national average for Brussels/Capital Region, Flanders, and Wallonia from 1998 to 2007.

Charts 2010-06-14

GDP per capita, % of national average — Belgium regions 1998–2007

From FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: Belgian Election Ushers in Further Uncertainty by Renard Sexton

World Cup simulated odds table showing PTS, GF, GA, Win, Adv, Semi, and Cup probabilities for all groups A-H, per ESPN Soccer Power Index as of 6/18/10.

Tables 2010-06-14

World Cup Simulated Odds per ESPN Soccer Power Index

From FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: Belgian Election Ushers in Further Uncertainty by Renard Sexton

World Cup simulated odds table showing PTS, GF, GA, Win, Adv, Semi, and Cup probabilities for all groups A through H, per ESPN Soccer Power Index as of June 18, 2010.

Tables 2010-06-14

World Cup Simulated Odds per ESPN Soccer Power Index

From FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: More Developments in South Carolina D-SEN Primary by Tom Schaller

Election results table showing votes, national percentage, regional percentage, and seats for Flemish and Walloon parties in Belgium.

Tables 2010-06-14

Belgian Election Results: Flemish and Walloon Parties

From Belgian Election Ushers in Further Uncertainty by Renard Sexton

Table showing GDP per capita in Euros for 2007 across Belgian regions including Brussels-Capital Region, Flanders, Wallonia, and their sub-regions.

Tables 2010-06-14

GDP per capita by Belgian Region, Euros (2007)

From Belgian Election Ushers in Further Uncertainty by Renard Sexton

Line chart showing GDP per capita as a percentage of national average for Brussels/Capital Region, Flanders, and Wallonia from 1998 to 2007.

Charts 2010-06-14

GDP per capita, % of national average — Belgium regions 1998–2007

From Belgian Election Ushers in Further Uncertainty by Renard Sexton

Table showing top 5 contributors from 1989 to 2010 with total, individual, and PAC donation amounts.

Tables 2010-06-17

Top 5 Contributors, 1989 - 2010

From Top Corporate Donor to Barton Is Partner of BP on Deepwater Horizon by Nate Silver

Table comparing GDP per capita PPP, GINI coefficient, and HDI for Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Paraguay, Uruguay, Ghana, Honduras, and USA.

Tables 2010-06-17

GDP/cap, GINI, and HDI Comparison Table

From Political Update from the Land of Fútbol by Thomas Dollar

Table showing Iraqi political parties' vote percentages, direct MPs, compensatory seats, and total seats.

Tables 2010-06-18

Iraqi Election Results by Party: Vote % and Seat Allocation

From FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: Slow Progress in Baghdad: No PM in Place Yet by Renard Sexton

Table showing Iraqi National Alliance seats and number of provinces with seats, broken down by political bloc including Sadr, ISCI/Badr, Fadila, Jaafari, and Jalabi.

Tables 2010-06-18

Iraqi National Alliance Seats by Bloc

From FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: Slow Progress in Baghdad: No PM in Place Yet by Renard Sexton

Table showing Kurdish parties' seats and percent share, including Kurdistan List, Gorran, KIU, and KIG, totaling 57 seats at 22.1%.

Tables 2010-06-18

Kurdish Parties – Seats and Percent

From FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: Slow Progress in Baghdad: No PM in Place Yet by Renard Sexton

Table showing Iraqi political parties' vote percentages, direct MPs, compensatory seats, and total seats.

Tables 2010-06-18

Iraqi Election Results by Party: Vote % and Seat Allocation

From Slow Progress in Baghdad: No PM in Place Yet by Renard Sexton

Table showing Iraqi National Alliance seats and number of provinces with seats, broken down by political bloc including Sadr, ISCI/Badr, Fadila, Jaafari, and Jalabi.

Tables 2010-06-18

Iraqi National Alliance Seats by Bloc

From Slow Progress in Baghdad: No PM in Place Yet by Renard Sexton

Table showing Kurdish parties' seats and percent share, with Kurdistan List, Gorran, KIU, and KIG listed, totaling 57 seats at 22.1 percent.

Tables 2010-06-18

Kurdish Parties — Seats and Percent

From Slow Progress in Baghdad: No PM in Place Yet by Renard Sexton

Table comparing SPI, ELO, and FIFA rankings for six African national soccer teams including Ivory Coast, Cameroon, Nigeria, Ghana, South Africa, and Algeria.

Tables 2010-06-19

African Soccer Teams SPI, ELO, and FIFA Rankings

From Is Africa Failing? by Nate Silver

Table showing chance of advancement for African teams in a tournament, with Start and Now percentages, and expected number of teams advancing.

Tables 2010-06-19

Chance of Advancement for African Teams

From Is Africa Failing? by Nate Silver

Stock chart for DBC showing price movements with labeled Elliott Wave patterns a, b, and c over a YTD period with volume bars at bottom.

Charts 2010-06-20

DBC YTD Stock Chart with Elliott Wave Labels a, b, c

From A Closer Look At the Financial Markets by Hale Stewart

Candlestick stock chart for FXE showing price decline with labeled wave points a through e and volume bars at bottom.

Charts 2010-06-20

FXE YTD Daily Candlestick Chart with Elliott Wave Labels

From A Closer Look At the Financial Markets by Hale Stewart

Candlestick price chart for IEF showing six months of trading data with an upward trendline and volume bars at the bottom, labeled with the letter a.

Charts 2010-06-20

IEF Six Month Candlestick Chart

From A Closer Look At the Financial Markets by Hale Stewart

Two-year candlestick chart of SPY S&P 500 ETF with Elliott Wave labels a, b, c marked in rectangles showing wave patterns.

Charts 2010-06-20

SPY Two Years/1d Elliott Wave Chart

From A Closer Look At the Financial Markets by Hale Stewart

Candlestick price chart of TLT (iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF) over a six-month period with volume bars at the bottom and a diagonal trendline labeled 'a'.

Charts 2010-06-20

TLT Six-Month Candlestick Chart with Trendline

From A Closer Look At the Financial Markets by Hale Stewart

Candlestick stock chart for UUP YTD/14 with Elliott Wave labels a, b, c, d marked on price action from February through June.

Charts 2010-06-20

UUP YTD/14 Elliott Wave Candlestick Chart

From A Closer Look At the Financial Markets by Hale Stewart

Table showing Colombia Presidential Election 2010 run-off results on 20 June, with vote counts and percentages for Santos and Mockus.

Tables 2010-06-21

Colombia Presidential Election 2010 Run-Off Results

From FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: Santos Wins Convincingly in Colombia by Renard Sexton

Table showing Colombia Presidential Election valid votes and turnout for First Round, Second Round, and the change between rounds.

Tables 2010-06-21

Colombia Presidential Election Valid Votes and Turnout

From FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: Santos Wins Convincingly in Colombia by Renard Sexton

Election results table comparing vote totals for candidates Santos and Mockus, showing Santos won with 59% versus Mockus 41%.

Tables 2010-06-21

Santos vs. Mockus Election Results Table

From FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: Santos Wins Convincingly in Colombia by Renard Sexton

Table showing Colombia Presidential Election 2010 run-off results on 20 June, with vote counts and percentages for Santos and Mockus.

Tables 2010-06-21

Colombia Presidential Election 2010 Run-Off Results

From Santos Wins Convincingly in Colombia by Renard Sexton

Table showing Colombia Presidential Election valid votes and turnout for First Round, Second Round, and the change between them.

Tables 2010-06-21

Colombia Presidential Election Valid Votes and Turnout

From Santos Wins Convincingly in Colombia by Renard Sexton

Election results table comparing vote totals for candidates Santos and Mockus, showing Santos won with 59% versus Mockus 41%.

Tables 2010-06-21

Santos vs. Mockus Election Results Table

From Santos Wins Convincingly in Colombia by Renard Sexton

Scatter plot with trend lines showing Obama approval and disapproval ratings on oil spill handling from May 2 to June 21.

Charts 2010-06-22

Obama Approval On Oil Spill Handling

From Ratings on Obama Oil Spill Performance are Flattening Out, For Now by Nate Silver

Grid of 16 US state-level choropleth maps showing support for health care reform by age group (18-29 to 65+) and income bracket (under $20k to over $75k).

Maps 2010-06-23

Who Supports Health Care Reform?

From FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: Most People Like Health Care Reform, Unless They're Over 65 by Andrew Gelman

Table showing ANC vote share in selected South African provinces for 2009, 2004, 1999, and 1994, with yellow highlighting indicating ANC majority or plurality.

Tables 2010-06-26

ANC Vote Share in Selected Provinces

From A Rainbow Nation, But a Polarized Electorate by Nate Silver

Table showing ANC vote share in selected South African provinces for 2009, 2004, 1999, and 1994, with yellow highlighting indicating ANC majority or plurality.

Tables 2010-06-26

ANC Vote Share in Selected Provinces

From A Rainbow Nation, But a Polarized Electorate by Thomas Dollar

Table showing top three South African parties vote share in 2009 by race group: ANC, DA, and COPE for Total, Black, White, Coloured, and Asian/Indian voters.

Tables 2010-06-26

Top Three Parties' Vote Share, 2009

From A Rainbow Nation, But a Polarized Electorate by Nate Silver

Table showing top three South African parties vote share in 2009 by race group: ANC, DA, and COPE for Total, Black, White, Coloured, and Asian/Indian voters.

Tables 2010-06-26

Top Three Parties' Vote Share, 2009

From A Rainbow Nation, But a Polarized Electorate by Thomas Dollar

Bar chart showing existing home inventory in thousands of units from the early 1980s to around 2011, with a circled data point near the end highlighting a notable value.

Charts 2010-06-27

Existing Home Inventory

From A Closer Look at Housing by Hale Stewart

Line chart showing existing home sales (SAAR) in units thousands from January 1994 to around 2011, with a sharp drop after 2005 peak and a boxed recent period.

Charts 2010-06-27

Existing Home Sales (SAAR)

From A Closer Look at Housing by Hale Stewart

Bar chart showing existing homes months of supply over time, with values rising sharply around 2008-2009 and a circled data point near the end.

Charts 2010-06-27

Existing Homes: Months of Supply

From A Closer Look at Housing by Hale Stewart

Line chart showing seasonally adjusted annual new home sales rate from the 1960s to around 2011, with recession periods highlighted in blue vertical bands.

Charts 2010-06-27

New Home Sales and Recessions

From A Closer Look at Housing by Hale Stewart

Line chart showing new homes inventory in thousands of units from the 1960s to around 2010, with recession periods shaded in blue and a red inventory line.

Charts 2010-06-27

New Homes: Inventory

From A Closer Look at Housing by Hale Stewart

Line chart showing New Homes Months of Supply from the 1960s to around 2010, with recession periods shaded in blue and a sharp spike highlighted near the end.

Charts 2010-06-27

New Homes: Months of Supply

From A Closer Look at Housing by Hale Stewart

Histogram showing the frequency distribution of Obama's week-to-week approval rating changes according to Gallup polling data.

Charts 2010-06-29

Obama (Gallup) Week-to-Week Approval Rating Changes

From FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: BREAKING: Daily Kos to Sue Research 2000 for Fraud by Nate Silver

Bar chart showing the distribution of week-to-week changes in Obama R2K poll numbers, with most changes clustered near zero.

Charts 2010-06-29

Obama (R2K) Week-to-Week Poll Changes

From FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: BREAKING: Daily Kos to Sue Research 2000 for Fraud by Nate Silver

Histogram showing the frequency distribution of Obama's week-to-week approval rating changes according to Gallup polling data.

Charts 2010-06-29

Obama (Gallup) Week-to-Week Approval Rating Changes

From BREAKING: Daily Kos to Sue Research 2000 for Fraud by Nate Silver

Bar chart showing the distribution of week-to-week changes in Obama R2K poll numbers, with most changes clustered near zero.

Charts 2010-06-29

Obama (R2K) Week-to-Week Poll Changes

From BREAKING: Daily Kos to Sue Research 2000 for Fraud by Nate Silver

Data table showing survey respondent IDs with columns for party, race, gender, and favorability ratings for Obama, Pelosi, Reid, and Boehner.

Tables 2010-06-30

Survey Data Table: Party, Race, Gender, Favorability Ratings

From How Research 2000 Could Make Its Life Easy by Nate Silver