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November 2012 graphics

46 matches

Competitive State Summary table showing electoral votes, forecast margins, 90% prediction intervals, and win probabilities for Obama and Romney across swing states.

Tables 2012-11-01

Competitive State Summary – Obama vs Romney Forecast

From Oct. 31: Obama’s Electoral College ‘Firewall’ Holding in Polls by Nate Silver

Table of Wednesday's battleground state polls showing pollster results and net changes from post-Denver and pre-Denver polls for Obama and Romney.

Tables 2012-11-01

Wednesday's Battleground State Polls

From Oct. 31: Obama’s Electoral College ‘Firewall’ Holding in Polls by Nate Silver

Table showing Wednesday's national polls with pollster results and net change from post-Denver poll, including data from seven pollsters and an average.

Tables 2012-11-01

Wednesday's National Polls

From Oct. 31: Obama’s Electoral College ‘Firewall’ Holding in Polls by Nate Silver

Bar chart showing Nevada margin of victory in past presidential elections from 1972 to 2008, comparing Democrat and Republican wins.

Charts 2012-11-01

Nevada Margin of Victory In Past Presidential Elections

From In Nevada, Obama, Ryan and Signs of a New (Democratic-Leaning) Normal by Micah Cohen

Two maps of Nevada showing the 2008 presidential vote: left map displays county margins for Obama vs McCain, right map shows county voter turnout with circles sized by share of 2008 voters.

Maps 2012-11-01

The 2008 Vote in Nevada: County Margins and County Turnout

From In Nevada, Obama, Ryan and Signs of a New (Democratic-Leaning) Normal by Micah Cohen

Line chart comparing unemployment rates for Nevada and the United States from 2009 to 2012, showing Nevada consistently higher than the national average.

Charts 2012-11-01

Unemployment Rate, Nevada vs. United States

From In Nevada, Obama, Ryan and Signs of a New (Democratic-Leaning) Normal by Micah Cohen

Color-coded table showing simple average of likely voter polls across swing states for five time periods from June through November, comparing Obama and Romney leads.

Tables 2012-11-02

Simple Average of Likely Voter Polls

From Nov. 1: The Simple Case for Saying Obama Is the Favorite by Nate Silver

Table of Thursday's battleground state polls showing pollster results and net changes from post-Denver and pre-Denver polls for states including CO, FL, IA, NC, NV, OH, VA, and WI.

Tables 2012-11-02

Thursday's Battleground State Polls

From Nov. 1: The Simple Case for Saying Obama Is the Favorite by Nate Silver

Table of Thursday's national polls showing pollster results and net change from post-Denver poll, with Obama leading in most polls and an average of Obama +1.3.

Tables 2012-11-02

Thursday's National Polls

From Nov. 1: The Simple Case for Saying Obama Is the Favorite by Nate Silver

Table of Friday's battleground state polls showing pollster results and net changes from post-Denver and pre-Denver polls.

Tables 2012-11-03

Friday's Battleground State Polls

From Nov. 2: For Romney to Win, State Polls Must Be Statistically Biased by Nate Silver

Table of Friday's national polls showing pollster results and net change from post-Denver poll, with an average of Obama +1.1 and Romney +0.1 net change.

Tables 2012-11-03

Friday's National Polls

From Nov. 2: For Romney to Win, State Polls Must Be Statistically Biased by Nate Silver

Historical record of state polling averages from 1988 to 2008, showing number of polls, Democratic and GOP percentages, poll margin, and actual margin by state and year.

Tables 2012-11-04

Historical Record of State Polling Averages

From Nov. 3: Romney’s Reason to Play for Pennsylvania by Nate Silver

Table of Saturday's battleground polls showing pollster results and changes from post-Denver and pre-Denver polls for multiple swing states.

Tables 2012-11-04

Saturday's Battleground Polls

From Nov. 3: Romney’s Reason to Play for Pennsylvania by Nate Silver

Table showing Saturday national poll results and changes from post-Denver poll, with pollsters including Google, Ipsos, RAND, Rasmussen, and others.

Tables 2012-11-04

Saturday's National Polls

From Nov. 3: Romney’s Reason to Play for Pennsylvania by Nate Silver

US electoral map showing states colored red or blue, likely representing Republican and Democratic party results by state.

Maps 2012-11-04

US Electoral Map Red vs. Blue States

From Nov. 3: Romney’s Reason to Play for Pennsylvania by Nate Silver

Line chart comparing jobless rates for Virginia and the United States from 2009 to 2012, showing Virginia at 5.9% and the US at 7.8%.

Charts 2012-11-05

Jobless Rate, Virginia vs. U.S.

From In Virginia, It’s Tradition Versus Change by Micah Cohen

Two maps of Virginia showing the 2008 presidential vote: county-level margins by color (Obama blue vs McCain red) and county-level voter turnout shown by proportional circles.

Maps 2012-11-05

The 2008 Vote in Virginia: County-Level Margins and Turnout

From In Virginia, It’s Tradition Versus Change by Micah Cohen

Horizontal bar chart showing Virginia margin of victory in past presidential elections from 1972 to 2008, comparing Democrat vs Republican wins.

Charts 2012-11-05

Virginia Margin of Victory In Past Presidential Elections

From In Virginia, It’s Tradition Versus Change by Micah Cohen

S-curve chart showing Obama's probability of winning the Electoral College given different national popular vote margins, ranging from R+3.0 to D+3.0.

Charts 2012-11-05

Obama Chance of Winning Electoral Vote Given National Popular Vote Margin

From State and National Polls Come Into Better Alignment by Nate Silver

Table showing Sunday's national polls with pollster names, Sunday poll results, and change from post-Denver poll for the 2012 presidential race.

Tables 2012-11-05

Sunday's National Polls – Obama vs Romney

From State and National Polls Come Into Better Alignment by Nate Silver

Table of Sunday battleground state polls showing pollster results and change from post-Denver poll for states including CO, FL, IA, MI, MN, NC, NH, NM, NV, OH, PA, VA, and WI.

Tables 2012-11-05

Sunday's Battleground Polls

From Nov. 4: Did Hurricane Sandy Blow Romney Off Course? by Nate Silver

Table of Sunday's national polls showing pollster results and change from post-Denver poll, with Obama and Romney leads highlighted in color.

Tables 2012-11-05

Sunday's National Polls

From Nov. 4: Did Hurricane Sandy Blow Romney Off Course? by Nate Silver

Horizontal bar chart showing Ohio margin of victory compared to U.S. margin in past presidential elections from 1972 to 2008, split by Democrat and Republican wins.

Charts 2012-11-05

Ohio Margin of Victory In Past Presidential Elections

From In Ohio, Polls Show Benefit of Auto Rescue to Obama by Micah Cohen

Two side-by-side maps of Ohio showing the 2008 presidential vote by county: left map shows Obama vs McCain margins by color, right map shows county voter turnout as sized circles.

Maps 2012-11-05

The 2008 Vote in Ohio: County Margins and County Turnout

From In Ohio, Polls Show Benefit of Auto Rescue to Obama by Micah Cohen

Line chart comparing unemployment rates in Ohio versus the United States from 2009 to 2012, showing Ohio at 7% and U.S. at 7.9%.

Charts 2012-11-05

Unemployment Rate, Ohio vs. United States

From In Ohio, Polls Show Benefit of Auto Rescue to Obama by Micah Cohen

Table of Monday's battleground state polls showing pollster results and change from prior poll for states CO, FL, IA, MI, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, and WI.

Tables 2012-11-06

Monday's Battleground Polls

From Nov. 5: Late Poll Gains for Obama Leave Romney With Longer Odds by Nate Silver

Table of Monday's national polls showing pollster results and change from prior poll, with Obama and Romney leads highlighted in blue and red.

Tables 2012-11-06

Monday's National Polls

From Nov. 5: Late Poll Gains for Obama Leave Romney With Longer Odds by Nate Silver

Table of preliminary 2012 US election results by state showing electoral votes, 2012 margin with color-coded bars, and cumulative electoral votes for Democrats, with Colorado highlighted at 272.

Tables 2012-11-08

Preliminary 2012 Election Results by State

From As Nation and Parties Change, Republicans Are at an Electoral College Disadvantage by Nate Silver

Table of pollster accuracy and bias for the 2012 Presidential Election, showing likely voter polls from the last 21 days of the campaign with average error, bias, mode, and cell phone data.

Tables 2012-11-11

Pollster Accuracy and Bias, 2012 Presidential Election

From Which Polls Fared Best (and Worst) in the 2012 Presidential Race by Nate Silver

Table showing pollster accuracy and bias in the 2012 Presidential Election, listing 21 pollsters with number of polls, average error, bias, mode, and cell phone data.

Tables 2012-11-11

Pollster Accuracy and Bias, 2012 Presidential Election

From Which Polls Fared Best (and Worst) in the 2012 Presidential Race by Nate Silver

Table comparing 2008 and 2012 voter turnout by state, showing ballot counts and percent change, sorted from highest to lowest change.

Tables 2012-11-12

Turnout Comparison, Based on Ballots Counted Through Monday A.M.

From Turnout Steady in Swing States and Down in Others, But Many Votes Remain Uncounted by Nate Silver

Exit poll bar chart comparing Obama and Romney support among gay/lesbian/bisexual voters (5%) versus non-LGBT voters (95%) from the 2012 election.

Charts 2012-11-15

Exit Polls: Support for the Candidates by Sexual Orientation

From Gay Vote Seen as Crucial in Obama’s Victory by Micah Cohen

Table showing performance of the president's party in midterm election years for the House of Representatives, including seats before and after, change, presidential margin, job growth, and other notes from 1946 to 2010.

Tables 2012-11-17

Performance of President's Party in Midterm Election Years

From Democrats Unlikely to Regain House in 2014 by Nate Silver

Table comparing 2008 and 2012 presidential election margins, absolute shift, partisan lean, and relative shift for all 50 US states and DC.

Tables 2012-11-19

2008 vs 2012 Presidential Election Margins and Shifts by State

From The 2012 Election, in a Relative Sense by Micah Cohen

Table showing 2008 and 2012 election margins, absolute shift, partisan lean, and relative shift by US state, with color-coded red and blue bars.

Tables 2012-11-19

State-by-State 2008 vs 2012 Margin and Partisan Lean Shifts

From The 2012 Election, in a Relative Sense by Micah Cohen

Table ranking Big Ten college football teams by national rank and estimated number of fans, with horizontal bar indicators, led by Ohio State with 3.167 million fans.

Tables 2012-11-20

Big Ten Teams Ranked by Estimated Number of Fans

From Expansion by Big Ten May Bring Small Payoff by Nate Silver

Table showing national fan rankings and estimated number of fans for five college sports teams including Missouri, Pittsburgh, Kansas, Iowa State, and Colorado.

Tables 2012-11-20

Estimated Number of Fans by Team National Rank

From Expansion by Big Ten May Bring Small Payoff by Nate Silver

Choropleth map of the United States with states shaded in varying intensities of red and blue, likely showing political or demographic data by state.

Maps 2012-11-21

US State Choropleth Map Red-Blue Shading

From Where Obama and Romney Beat Their Polls by Nate Silver

Table showing elasticity-adjusted margin of victory by state in the 2012 US presidential election, with electoral votes and cumulative electoral votes.

Tables 2012-11-23

Elasticity-Adjusted Margin of Victory, 2012

From Pennsylvania Could Be a Path Forward for G.O.P. by Nate Silver

US electoral map showing states colored red or blue, likely representing Republican and Democratic party affiliations or election results.

Maps 2012-11-23

US States Colored Red and Blue Electoral Map

From Pennsylvania Could Be a Path Forward for G.O.P. by Nate Silver

US electoral map showing states colored red or blue, likely representing Republican and Democratic party affiliations or election results.

Maps 2012-11-23

US States Electoral Map Red vs Blue

From Pennsylvania Could Be a Path Forward for G.O.P. by Nate Silver

Step chart comparing new vs existing federal marginal tax rates by income level, highlighting a tax bubble between $250,000 and $400,000 where new rates exceed rates for higher earners.

Charts 2012-11-26

A Higher Rate for Some

From Congressional Proposal Could Create ‘Bubble’ in Tax Code by Nate Silver

Table showing federal income taxes owed under various tax proposals for taxable incomes of $40,000, $400,000, and $4,000,000.

Tables 2012-11-26

Federal Income Taxes Owed Under Various Proposals

From Congressional Proposal Could Create ‘Bubble’ in Tax Code by Nate Silver

Small multiples bar chart showing Democratic margin in presidential elections from 1980 to 2012 for the United States, California, Bay Area, and individual Bay Area counties.

Charts 2012-11-28

Democratic Margin in Presidential Elections

From In Silicon Valley, Technology Talent Gap Threatens G.O.P. Campaigns by Nate Silver

Table showing itemized political contributions to Obama and Romney from most-admired IT companies including Amazon, Apple, Google, Microsoft, and others, with share going to Obama.

Tables 2012-11-28

Itemized Contributions to Obama and Romney Among Most-Admired IT Companies

From In Silicon Valley, Technology Talent Gap Threatens G.O.P. Campaigns by Nate Silver

Table showing post-election shift in Gallup presidential job approval ratings from 1952 to 2012, with before and after net approval scores and change values.

Tables 2012-11-30

Post-Election Shift in Gallup's Presidential Job Approval

From Polls Show Below-Average Post-Election Approval Bounce for Obama by Micah Cohen