fivethirtyeightindex

Explore 38,954 articles, datasets, podcasts, graphics and illustrations from fivethirtyeight.com

June 2012 graphics

21 matches

Table showing presidential popular vote margin by party of state governor, weighted by turnout, from 1972 to 2008 with averages.

Tables 2012-06-06

Presidential Popular Vote Margin by Party of State Governor

From Governors’ Races Can Be a Contrary Indicator for Presidential Elections by Nate Silver

Table showing presidential popular vote shift by party of state governor, weighted by turnout, from 1972 to 2008 with averages.

Tables 2012-06-06

Presidential Popular Vote Shift by Party of State Governor

From Governors’ Races Can Be a Contrary Indicator for Presidential Elections by Nate Silver

Table showing a sample of Electoral College projections for US states with standard deviation, average rating, FTE odds, and forecasts from multiple outlets including RCP, Washington Post, Pollster, CBS News, and NPR.

Tables 2012-06-10

A Sample of Electoral College Projections

From Where Electoral Forecasts Agree and Disagree by Micah Cohen

Table comparing solid and leaning Electoral College vote projections for Obama and Romney from six news outlets, with Obama's advantage shown as a bar chart.

Tables 2012-06-10

Solid and Leaning Electoral Votes: Obama vs Romney by Outlet

From Where Electoral Forecasts Agree and Disagree by Micah Cohen

Line chart showing Obama approval among Black voters from January to June 2012, with a red dot marking when Obama endorsed gay marriage around May 2012.

Charts 2012-06-13

Obama Approval Among Black Voters (Gallup)

From Statistical Noise in Election Polls by Nate Silver

Bar chart table showing FiveThirtyEight readers' state winner picks for Obama vs Romney, with percentage picking Obama for each state.

Charts 2012-06-14

FiveThirtyEight Readers' State Winners

From Readers See Obama Slightly Ahead, With Ohio Crucial for Romney by Micah Cohen

Horizontal bar chart showing FiveThirtyEight reader electoral college map predictions for Obama vs Romney, with margins listed for each reader submission.

Charts 2012-06-14

How FiveThirtyEight Readers See the Election

From Readers See Obama Slightly Ahead, With Ohio Crucial for Romney by Micah Cohen

New Mexico 2008 presidential vote by county map, statewide margin of victory bar chart by year, and congressional district characteristics table.

Maps 2012-06-16

New Mexico 2008 Presidential Vote by County and District Characteristics

From Presidential Geography: New Mexico by Micah Cohen

Bubble map of New Mexico showing 2008 voter turnout by county, with circles sized by share of voters; Bernalillo County (Albuquerque) accounts for 34%.

Maps 2012-06-16

New Mexico Turnout In 2008, by County

From Presidential Geography: New Mexico by Micah Cohen

Table showing Hispanic voter turnout by state in 2008, with estimated turnout numbers, percent of total Hispanic turnout, and cumulative totals for 26 states.

Tables 2012-06-19

Hispanic Turnout by State, 2008

From Hispanic Voters Less Plentiful in Swing States by Nate Silver

Table showing Tipping Point Index and Hispanic Share of Turnout in 2008 for swing states, led by Virginia, Ohio, and Colorado.

Tables 2012-06-19

Tipping Point States and Hispanic Turnout

From Hispanic Voters Less Plentiful in Swing States by Nate Silver

Multi-panel chart showing Montana's unemployment rate vs national, statewide margin of victory in past presidential elections, and house district characteristics including partisan voting index and demographics.

Charts 2012-06-21

The Metrics for Montana

From Presidential Geography: Montana by Micah Cohen

Two maps of Montana showing voter turnout by county with sized circles and 2008 county-level margins between Obama and McCain using a blue-red color scale.

Maps 2012-06-21

Turnout by County and County Margins — Montana 2008

From Presidential Geography: Montana by Micah Cohen

Horizontal bar chart showing house effects by pollster, with Democratic-leaning pollsters in blue and Republican-leaning in red.

Charts 2012-06-22

House Effects by Pollster

From Calculating ‘House Effects’ of Polling Firms by Nate Silver

Horizontal bar chart showing New Hampshire margin of victory in past presidential elections from 1980 to 2008, comparing U.S. and N.H. results.

Charts 2012-06-24

New Hampshire Margin of Victory In Past Presidential Elections

From Presidential Geography: New Hampshire by Micah Cohen

Maps and table showing the 2008 New Hampshire election results, including county turnout bubbles, Obama vs McCain margins by county, and district demographic statistics.

Tables 2012-06-24

The 2008 Election in New Hampshire

From Presidential Geography: New Hampshire by Micah Cohen

Line chart comparing unemployment rates for New Hampshire and the United States from January 2009 to January 2012, showing NH consistently lower than the US.

Charts 2012-06-24

Unemployment Rate, N.H. vs. United States

From Presidential Geography: New Hampshire by Micah Cohen

Line chart of HEALTHCARE.UNCONST.DEC12 Intrade prediction market closing prices from June 2011 to June 2012, showing a sharp rise around April 2012.

Charts 2012-06-27

HEALTHCARE.UNCONST.DEC12 Intrade Price Chart Jun 2011–Jun 2012

From Overconfidence Suggested in Supreme Court Predictions by Nate Silver

Bar chart showing Georgia's margin of victory in past presidential elections from 1980 to 2008, comparing U.S. and Georgia results.

Charts 2012-06-29

Georgia Margin of Victory In Past Presidential Elections

From Presidential Geography: Georgia by Micah Cohen

The 2008 Election in Georgia showing turnout by county bubble map, county margins choropleth map, and a table of all 13 congressional districts with party, PVI, median income, blue collar, urban, and rural data.

Maps 2012-06-29

The 2008 Election in Georgia

From Presidential Geography: Georgia by Micah Cohen

Line chart comparing unemployment rates for Georgia vs. the United States from January 2009 to early 2012, showing Georgia consistently higher.

Charts 2012-06-29

Unemployment Rate, Georgia vs. United States

From Presidential Geography: Georgia by Micah Cohen