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September 2010 graphics

17 matches

Scatter plot comparing state conservatism on the x-axis to senator conservatism on the y-axis, with labeled Republican senators as pink or blue dots and a dashed trend line.

Charts 2010-09-01

State vs. Senator Conservatism Scatter Plot

From In Singling Out Murkowski, Tea Party Chose Wisely by Nate Silver

Scatter plot comparing lead in polls 90 days before election versus actual margin of victory, with annotations showing overperformed and underperformed polling regions.

Charts 2010-09-05

Actual Margin of Victory vs. Lead in Polls (90 Days Before Election)

From Governor Forecasts: Understanding the Model by Nate Silver

Line chart of the Effective Federal Funds Rate from 1950 to 2010, showing a peak near 20% around 1980 and near-zero rates by 2010, with shaded recession periods.

Charts 2010-09-06

Effective Federal Funds Rate (FF) 1950–2010

From Potential for Double-Dip Recession Seems Small by Hale Stewart

Diverging bar chart comparing the percentage of Democrats vs Republicans who highlighted various political issues, with blue bars for Democrats and red bars for Republicans.

Charts 2010-09-07

Issues Highlighted by Democrat vs. Republican

From Democrats Aren’t Running From Health Care. But What Are They Running On? by Nate Silver

Two bar charts showing the number of uncontested House races from 1992 to 2010, one for races with no Republican candidate and one with no Democratic candidate.

Charts 2010-09-08

Number of House races with no Republican or Democratic candidate, 1992–2010

From The Republicans’ 50-State, 428-District Strategy by Nate Silver

Table showing Republican primary winner combinations for Delaware and New Hampshire paired with the chance of Republican Senate takeover, based on 100,000 simulations.

Tables 2010-09-13

Chance of Republican Senate Takeover by Primary Winner Combinations

From 2 Insurgents Could Hurt G.O.P. Chances for Senate Takeover by Nate Silver

Line chart comparing percentage of voting age population voting in primaries versus percentage of Americans self-identifying as Republican and Democrat from 1974 to 2006.

Charts 2010-09-14

Percentage of Voting Age Population Voting Primaries vs. Self-Identified Party Affiliation

From Primary Voter Turnout Stays Low, but More So for Democrats by Brian J. McCabe

Line chart showing the percentage of voting age population participating in Democratic and Republican primaries from 1966 to 2010, with both declining over time.

Charts 2010-09-14

Percentage of the Voting Age Population voting in Republican and Democratic Primaries

From Primary Voter Turnout Stays Low, but More So for Democrats by Brian J. McCabe

Bar chart showing voter turnout in primary elections as a percentage of the voting age population from 1990 to 2010.

Charts 2010-09-14

Turnout in Primary Elections as a Percentage of the Voting Age Population

From Primary Voter Turnout Stays Low, but More So for Democrats by Brian J. McCabe

Table of Afghan provinces listing population, total Wolesi Jirga seats, female seats, and female seat percentage for each province.

Tables 2010-09-17

Afghanistan Wolesi Jirga Seats and Female Seats by Province

From Complex Formulas Governing the Afghan Elections by Renard Sexton

Table showing Alaska Senate race candidate support percentages broken down by Democrats, Independents, Republicans, and Total share of electorate.

Tables 2010-09-18

Alaska Senate Race Support by Party Affiliation

From More on Murkowski’s Math by Nate Silver

Table showing US household debt, GDP, disposable personal income, and household debt as a percentage of GDP and DPI from 1975 to 2009.

Tables 2010-09-19

Household Debt vs. GDP and Disposable Personal Income, 1975–2009

From Consumer Spending and the Economy by Hale Stewart

Table comparing Generic Ballot Margin vs Named Candidate Margin for congressional district matchups across multiple states.

Tables 2010-09-21

Generic Ballot vs. Named Candidate Margin by District

From Why Generic Ballots May Underestimate Democrats by Nate Silver

Table comparing generic ballot polls to actual vote results by election cycle from 1994 to 2008, showing Democratic and Republican margins.

Tables 2010-09-24

Generic Ballot Polls vs. Actual Vote 1994–2008

From The Bias of the Generic Ballot: It’s Complicated by Nate Silver

Table showing percent of electorate by party affiliation for Delaware Senate candidates Coons, Castle, and O'Donnell, with Democrats, Independents, Republicans, and Total columns.

Tables 2010-09-24

Delaware Senate Race: Percent of Electorate by Party

From Calculating the Castle Write-In Bid by Nate Silver

Line chart showing partisan identification trends in California exit polls from 1992 to 2008 for Democrats, Republicans, and Independents.

Charts 2010-09-27

Partisan Identification in California Exit Polls: 1992-2008

From Analyzing Whitman’s Questions About California Poll by Nate Silver

Table showing performance of candidates with polling leads in Senate and Governor races 30 days before election, with win-loss records and win percentages by lead size.

Tables 2010-09-30

Performance of Candidates With Lead in Simple Polling Average 30 Days Before Election

From The Uncanny Accuracy of Polling Averages*, Part II: What the Numbers Say by Nate Silver